NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	91		Excitement	7.0 [232]		MVP	Eric Snow (PHI): +10.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	101		Comeback	1.8 [385]		LVP	Nick Anderson (ORL): -27.6%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bo Outlaw	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	2	33%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Horace Grant	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.01	10	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Darrell Armstrong	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	10	64%	0.08	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Matt Harpring	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.03	0.02	5	75%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03
Michael Doleac	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ike Austin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.05	6	67%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.21	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21	-0.14	-0.10	-0.02	17	37%	-0.19	1	-0.02	12	75%	-0.03
Nick Anderson	-0.28	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.23,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.06	-0.20	0.02	26	49%	-0.20	4	-0.08	7	71%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.01	0.12	0.01	13	62%	0.20	4	-0.09	6	100%	0.03
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02	0.02	0.08	-0.07	-0.01	27	62%	0.14	4	-0.11	6	83%	-0.01
Harvey Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	64%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jerald Honeycutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.01	9	58%	0.03	1	-0.07	6	100%	0.03
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.02	-0.01	8	44%	0.03	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.03
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	5	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.4	26.4	18.7	32.0	2.6	41.4	150.8
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +54.7%

PHI +10.2%

ORL -4.9%

ORL -10.5%

PHI +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHI	NBA	ORL	PHI	NBA
this game	17.5	16.2	15.8	107.1	117.4	99.6
season	16.1	15.6		98.0	97.0
opponent	15.9	15.6		94.8	95.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	18.6	18.0	15.2	18.6	17.5
PHI	15.0	19.9	15.5	14.8	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ike Austin	54	56	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.08	4	-14	18	16.8	18.8	-1.94	15.1	18.0	-2.89
Michael Doleac	11	10	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.01	-1	-9	8	17.1	17.6	-0.52	22.6	15.3	7.30
Matt Harpring	21	19	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	-4	-2	16.2	18.0	-1.73	17.7	15.7	1.97
Anfernee Hardaway	78	79	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.21	-7	-3	-4	17.6	17.3	0.28	16.0	18.1	-2.17
Horace Grant	78	79	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.21	-7	-3	-4	17.6	17.3	0.28	16.0	18.1	-2.17
Darrell Armstrong	80	81	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.16	-10	0	-10	17.6	16.6	1.00	15.6	25.4	-9.82
Nick Anderson	76	79	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.28	-7	-3	-4	17.8	15.2	2.59	16.5	11.7	4.83
Bo Outlaw	27	27	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.11	-16	6	-22	19.1	16.8	2.25	16.4	16.1	0.32

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Lynch	70	70	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.34	11	-1	12	15.9	17.4	-1.58	17.2	19.3	-2.10
Allen Iverson	78	75	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.18	15	-5	20	15.7	20.1	-4.38	17.7	16.6	1.07
Theo Ratliff	56	55	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.28	8	2	6	15.6	17.1	-1.51	17.4	17.8	-0.45
Eric Snow	78	76	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.17	8	2	6	16.0	18.0	-2.04	17.6	17.1	0.48
Larry Hughes	53	54	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.10	5	5	0	16.6	15.5	1.13	17.6	17.4	0.24
Jerald Honeycutt	3	5	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.05	5	5	0	15.7	16.2	-0.50	14.4	17.7	-3.34
Harvey Grant	11	10	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	9	-8	19.1	15.7	3.37	19.9	17.2	2.67
Tyrone Hill	40	38	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.04	0	10	-10	15.3	16.9	-1.64	18.3	17.0	1.31
Matt Geiger	41	42	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	13	-16	18.0	14.4	3.63	17.1	18.0	-0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.8,0.91,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.81,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.71,0.53,0.47,0.64,0.46,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.9,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 89, MEM 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.86,0.82,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.85,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.46,0.48,0.75,0.72,0.85,0.98,1	93.0%
UTA 99, IND 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.72,0.78,0.92,1	93.0%
CLE 91, SEA 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.84,0.81,0.79,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.72,0.61,0.71,0.98,0.96,1	92.3%