NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	89		Excitement	6.9 [443]		MVP	Nick Calathes (MEM): +24.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	92		Comeback	1.5 [774]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -32.9%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.1	0.23	-0.11	0.03	24	74%	0.16	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Marcin Gortat	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.01	4	77%	0.11	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.03
Nene	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.00	13	59%	0.07	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.03
Jan Vesely	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	10%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Martell Webster	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	5	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
John Wall	-0.33	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	10	23%	-0.18	4	-0.15	2	50%	-0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Calathes	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.09	0.16	0.01	12	72%	0.30	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	5	65%	0.11	1	-0.02	10	70%	-0.02
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.05	0.01	11	69%	0.14	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	4	87%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	7	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	25%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Darius Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.11	0.00	12	50%	0.00	2	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22	-0.22	-0.09	-0.14	-0.02	11	46%	-0.03	5	-0.18	6	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.3	29.8	15.8	27.2	1.8	40.1	139.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +26.6%

MEM +21.1%

MEM +22.3%

WAS -23.9%

MEM +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	MEM	NBA	WAS	MEM	NBA
this game	14.3	17.0	15.1	96.7	100.0	105.2
season	15.1	16.4		103.8	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.5		103.4	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.1	16.0	13.3	13.1	14.3
MEM	16.8	17.4	16.7	17.1	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Garrett Temple	29	30	0.13	-0.63	0.75	0.19	-2	-1	-1	13.7	14.6	-0.96	17.1	17.0	0.12
Jan Vesely	7	7	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.04	3	-6	9	11.3	14.6	-3.28	20.6	16.7	3.88
Kevin Seraphin	46	44	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.08	-2	-1	-1	15.0	13.7	1.33	18.2	15.9	2.37
Trevor Booker	16	18	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.03	-6	3	-9	15.4	14.1	1.36	17.6	16.9	0.70
Martell Webster	38	39	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.12	-11	8	-19	14.6	14.1	0.54	16.8	17.1	-0.29
Bradley Beal	69	70	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.39	4	-7	11	14.7	13.2	1.46	17.4	15.8	1.54
Trevor Ariza	76	74	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.52	2	-5	7	14.0	15.8	-1.81	16.9	17.4	-0.57
Marcin Gortat	42	44	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.67	5	-8	13	13.3	15.1	-1.81	16.3	17.6	-1.37
Nene	72	70	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.42	-4	1	-5	14.6	13.3	1.23	16.4	19.0	-2.58
John Wall	65	64	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.43	-4	1	-5	14.3	14.3	0.03	16.5	18.0	-1.45

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Johnson	46	46	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.51	8	-5	13	17.1	16.8	0.28	15.0	13.7	1.28
Nick Calathes	70	70	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.44	10	-7	17	16.1	19.9	-3.78	14.2	14.5	-0.30
Zach Randolph	67	68	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.37	6	-3	9	16.3	18.8	-2.49	14.5	13.7	0.76
Marc Gasol	67	67	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.47	-2	5	-7	16.5	18.3	-1.77	13.7	15.9	-2.15
Courtney Lee	68	69	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.51	-4	7	-11	16.7	17.7	-0.92	13.1	18.1	-5.03
Ed Davis	26	26	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.03	6	-3	9	17.7	16.7	0.93	14.8	14.1	0.74
Mike Miller	26	27	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.26	8	-5	13	17.2	16.9	0.34	16.5	13.4	3.07
Kosta Koufos	24	23	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.01	-4	7	-11	19.5	16.1	3.40	14.8	14.1	0.68
Tayshaun Prince	44	42	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.06	-6	9	-15	17.1	16.9	0.15	14.3	14.3	-0.05
Darius Morris	22	22	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.03	-7	10	-17	19.9	16.1	3.78	14.5	14.2	0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.86,0.82,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.85,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.46,0.48,0.75,0.72,0.85,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 91, PHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.8,0.91,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.81,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.71,0.53,0.47,0.64,0.46,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.9,0.96,1	93.0%
BOS 99, MIL 105	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.72,0.82,0.8,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.77,0.69,0.47,0.55,0.61,0.79,0.85,0.99,1	92.7%
POR 91, DET 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.83,0.81,0.92,0.85,0.88,0.84,0.77,0.71,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.62,0.76,0.73,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.76,0.93,0.95,0.96,1	92.7%