inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Portland Trail Blazers 91 Excitement6.5 [416] MVPRodney Stuckey (DET): +20.9%
Detroit Pistons 94 Comeback1.3 [315] LVPJamal Crawford (POR): -15.0%


Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Raymond Felton0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.10.110.010.03977%0.172-0.07887%0.05
Craig Smith0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.050.030.00762%0.0800.002100%0.02
LaMarcus Aldridge0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.030.09-0.040.021760%0.112-0.08887%0.03
Marcus Camby0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kurt Thomas-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00450%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Chris Johnson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Luke Babbitt-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.000.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Nolan Smith-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Wesley Matthews-0.070,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07-0.03-0.040.011036%-0.0700.00250%-0.01
Nicolas Batum-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.020.011541%-0.031-0.04475%-0.00
Jamal Crawford-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15-0.10-0.05-0.001331%-0.092-0.0600%0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rodney Stuckey0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.210.210.150.080.021572%0.313-0.11989%0.07
Jonas Jerebko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.06-0.000.00861%0.0500.002100%0.02
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.03-0.00-0.011453%0.071-0.024100%0.02
Brandon Knight0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.030.030.020.01-0.001054%0.071-0.04683%0.02
Damien Wilkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.03-0.00233%0.0200.002100%0.02
Jason Maxiell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.010.01-0.040.05-0.00835%0.0100.00425%-0.04
Ben Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.011100%0.0100.0000%0.00
Greg Monroe0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.030.01662%0.094-0.164100%0.02
Walker Russell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.030.00343%-0.022-0.061100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.42.329.615.726.01.844.0145.8
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +31.9%
DET +16.9%
DET +12.0%
POR -12.7%
DET +1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPORDETNBAPORDETNBA
this game16.117.415.6105.8109.3102.8
season15.716.3104.199.5
opponent15.415.4104.4104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
POR15.318.715.814.916.1
DET16.019.220.115.117.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nolan Smith89-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-3316.616.00.6117.917.40.53
Kurt Thomas2829-0.02-0.480.460.01-1-2114.916.6-1.7518.716.81.92
Chris Johnson21-0.02-0.480.460.01-1-217.516.3-8.7721.017.43.62
Jamal Crawford3534-0.05-0.450.40-0.112-5716.315.90.3217.217.6-0.40
Luke Babbitt56-0.14-0.360.220.06-74-1121.615.75.8723.217.06.18
Craig Smith3332-0.19-0.310.12-0.10-30-317.715.12.5916.917.7-0.77
Marcus Camby4645-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.23-2-1-116.615.41.2117.617.20.47
Raymond Felton6969-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.496-91515.518.2-2.7017.417.5-0.14
Nicolas Batum7878-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.452-5715.620.4-4.7516.922.7-5.88
LaMarcus Aldridge6162-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.421-4516.016.2-0.1317.716.80.87
Wesley Matthews6565-0.690.19-0.89-0.34-129-2116.215.80.4116.919.1-2.28

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Maxiell47470.75-0.251.000.3115-122716.318.8-2.5716.016.2-0.25
Tayshaun Prince68680.480.020.460.364-1518.015.22.8516.116.10.02
Rodney Stuckey70700.400.100.310.43-14-517.118.7-1.5615.917.0-1.14
Walker Russell21210.310.190.12-0.0111-81918.017.20.8316.715.90.79
Damien Wilkins33330.160.34-0.170.1121116.617.9-1.3216.315.90.38
Brandon Knight68680.160.34-0.180.42-912-2116.819.7-2.8415.617.8-2.23
Jonas Jerebko35370.130.37-0.240.014-1518.716.52.2316.415.80.59
Greg Monroe57560.120.38-0.250.33-710-1717.816.71.0516.016.2-0.20
Ben Wallace3130-0.020.52-0.540.10-47-1118.117.01.1116.815.71.17


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.83,0.81,0.92,0.85,0.88,0.84,0.77,0.71,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.62,0.76,0.73,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.76,0.93,0.95,0.96,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 79, ATL 810.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.65,0.68,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.8,0.81,0.76,0.81,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.92,192.9%
MIA 90, CLE 1020.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.66,0.78,0.83,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.84,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.8,0.68,0.53,0.59,0.72,0.9,0.99,0.99,1,192.8%
MIA 74, PHI 830.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.75,0.82,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.88,0.91,0.83,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.76,0.83,0.75,0.84,0.9,0.95,192.7%