NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	74		Excitement	6.1 [558]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +18.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	83		Comeback	1.3 [1110]		LVP	Derrick Coleman (PHI): -18.6%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Grant	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.02	10	65%	0.07	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Eddie House	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	9	61%	0.10	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	15	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Vladimir Stepania	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Anthony Carter	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	56%	-0.00	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Mike James	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	4	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	7	36%	-0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16	-0.17	-0.02	-0.03	16	25%	-0.11	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.19	-0.01	-0.02	8	22%	-0.08	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.02	0.18	0.01	25	57%	0.25	3	-0.06	13	92%	0.03
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.06	-0.01	5	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Art Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	14	45%	0.04	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.14	0.02	-0.02	18	32%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.06	-0.00	7	12%	-0.15	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	0.8	27.6	15.4	23.5	1.7	31.2	124.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +38.2%

PHI +1.6%

MIA -7.2%

PHI +11.3%

PHI +6.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	PHI	NBA	MIA	PHI	NBA
this game	15.7	15.4	15.5	79.6	90.2	101.6
season	16.3	15.3		94.6	102.1
opponent	15.5	15.9		99.9	100.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	15.5	16.0	13.6	18.4	15.7
PHI	14.5	13.3	15.8	18.5	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Carter	31	31	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.33	12	-21	33	14.9	16.1	-1.21	17.6	14.3	3.30
Brian Grant	79	79	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.15	4	-13	17	15.2	19.1	-3.92	15.2	16.5	-1.25
Vladimir Stepania	30	30	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.12	1	-10	11	16.8	15.3	1.51	16.8	14.7	2.04
LaPhonso Ellis	10	9	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-4	-1	17.8	15.5	2.31	14.7	15.5	-0.80
Mike James	28	27	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.09	-9	0	-9	16.1	15.6	0.57	14.7	15.7	-0.92
Caron Butler	54	53	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.06	-6	-3	-3	15.1	16.6	-1.50	14.6	16.5	-1.86
Eddie House	50	47	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.18	-3	-6	3	15.5	16.0	-0.57	15.9	14.8	1.11
Travis Best	46	47	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.02	-11	2	-13	16.3	15.2	1.16	14.7	16.1	-1.32
Eddie Jones	74	74	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.23	-12	3	-15	16.0	14.8	1.13	15.4	15.3	0.14
Malik Allen	63	63	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.26	-16	7	-23	15.9	15.3	0.60	15.0	16.3	-1.34

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	71	70	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.23	16	-7	23	15.4	15.4	-0.05	15.5	16.5	-0.98
Todd MacCulloch	53	54	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.39	7	2	5	16.2	14.3	1.84	16.1	15.2	0.88
Eric Snow	76	75	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.23	10	-1	11	15.7	14.1	1.53	16.1	14.1	2.09
Keith Van Horn	62	61	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.19	9	0	9	16.0	14.1	1.87	16.7	13.9	2.85
Allen Iverson	85	87	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.23	7	2	5	15.4	15.7	-0.35	15.8	15.3	0.44
Brian Skinner	26	27	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	7	-5	14.3	15.8	-1.51	14.5	16.2	-1.72
Art Long	4	5	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	11	-13	13.0	15.5	-2.50	10.4	16.0	-5.65
Derrick Coleman	36	37	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.06	-2	11	-13	15.4	15.4	-0.05	15.7	15.7	-0.02
Greg Buckner	47	49	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.08	-2	11	-13	14.2	16.7	-2.50	15.0	16.5	-1.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.75,0.82,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.88,0.91,0.83,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.76,0.83,0.75,0.84,0.9,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 91, SEA 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.84,0.81,0.79,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.72,0.61,0.71,0.98,0.96,1	93.3%
IND 92, NJN 97	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.83,0.74,0.6,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.92,1	92.8%
NJN 101, MEM 107	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.68,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.86,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.73,0.81,0.68,0.66,0.77,0.79,0.75,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.87,0.86,0.79,0.94,0.99,1	92.8%