NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	101		Excitement	6.1 [568]		MVP	Rudy Gay (MEM): +17.7%
Memphis Grizzlies	107		Comeback	1.6 [1069]		LVP	Kris Humphries (NJN): -13.2%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Lee	0.15	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.05	20	70%	0.18	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Jarvis Hayes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	7	37%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Josh Boone	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Trenton Hassell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.08	-0.03	0.07	18	61%	0.07	4	-0.09	10	80%	-0.01
Keyon Dooling	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.02	0.03	11	58%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	10	40%	-0.01	3	-0.11	5	80%	0.02
Kris Humphries	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	7	14%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.03	0.11	-0.04	18	47%	0.18	0	0.00	9	78%	0.02
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	-0.00	-0.00	13	61%	0.10	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	8	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	70%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	18	55%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Marcus Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Hamed Haddadi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	0.00	1	75%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Sam Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	11	38%	-0.00	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.03	0.02	8	40%	-0.07	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.3	24.5	15.7	28.1	2.5	38.5	136.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +24.9%

MEM +8.2%

MEM +14.5%

MEM +7.5%

NJN -5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	MEM	NBA	NJN	MEM	NBA
this game	16.0	13.8	15.3	105.2	110.3	106.0
season	15.9	15.4		98.7	106.8
opponent	15.0	15.0		108.4	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.4	15.4	15.4	16.8	16.0
MEM	14.2	12.9	15.2	13.2	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Boone	33	36	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.22	12	-18	30	16.6	15.7	0.89	14.7	13.3	1.45
Trenton Hassell	34	35	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.14	9	-15	24	17.4	15.2	2.20	14.4	13.5	0.84
Courtney Lee	75	75	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.37	5	-11	16	15.9	16.5	-0.58	13.9	13.5	0.43
Kris Humphries	54	50	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.00	-10	4	-14	15.8	16.3	-0.56	13.4	14.3	-0.98
Keyon Dooling	19	20	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.03	-11	5	-16	17.2	15.7	1.42	13.7	13.9	-0.11
Devin Harris	79	79	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.31	0	-6	6	15.7	17.6	-1.90	13.7	14.4	-0.75
Jarvis Hayes	29	30	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	5	-16	14.5	16.7	-2.20	12.8	14.3	-1.55
Chris Douglas-Roberts	22	23	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.07	-10	4	-14	16.9	15.8	1.09	15.4	13.4	2.04
Brook Lopez	81	82	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.29	-5	-1	-4	16.3	14.4	1.92	13.8	14.3	-0.51
Terrence Williams	54	55	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.20	-9	3	-12	15.3	16.9	-1.61	13.5	14.3	-0.84

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Gasol	77	74	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.25	9	-3	12	13.4	15.3	-1.91	16.7	13.8	2.86
DeMarre Carroll	51	51	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.22	9	-3	12	13.5	14.3	-0.81	15.7	16.4	-0.67
Sam Young	45	47	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.00	14	-8	22	14.0	13.7	0.35	15.7	16.4	-0.71
Marcus Williams	27	28	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.09	15	-9	24	12.1	14.5	-2.39	16.4	15.9	0.53
O.J. Mayo	83	82	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.26	2	4	-2	13.3	16.9	-3.62	15.7	17.7	-1.98
Rudy Gay	76	74	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.41	-5	11	-16	14.4	11.8	2.65	15.9	16.3	-0.39
Mike Conley	70	68	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.41	-9	15	-24	14.5	12.1	2.39	15.9	16.4	-0.53
Darrell Arthur	32	33	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	6	-6	15.5	13.0	2.53	17.5	15.2	2.28
Hamed Haddadi	24	23	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	11	-16	13.3	14.0	-0.72	14.5	16.5	-1.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.68,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.86,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.73,0.81,0.68,0.66,0.77,0.79,0.75,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.87,0.86,0.79,0.94,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 94, CLE 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.72,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.84,0.92,0.89,0.84,0.82,0.75,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.78,0.76,0.63,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.89,0.97,0.98,1	93.4%
MIA 74, PHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.75,0.82,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.88,0.91,0.83,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.76,0.83,0.75,0.84,0.9,0.95,1	92.8%
MIA 106, POR 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.76,0.83,0.83,0.78,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.82,0.85,0.79,0.87,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.79,0.76,0.81,0.75,0.6,0.83,0.75,0.85,0.98,1,1	92.6%