inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 106 Excitement6.4 [508] MVPDaequan Cook (MIA): +18.9%
Portland Trail Blazers 112 Comeback1.4 [518] LVPDwyane Wade (MIA): -20.7%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Daequan Cook0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.170.070.041191%0.221-0.0300%0.00
Dorell Wright0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.030.01580%0.081-0.0200%0.00
Jason Williams0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.05-0.01-0.02683%0.082-0.0200%0.00
Udonis Haslem0.050,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.110.000.06971%0.0500.003100%0.01
Ricky Davis-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.010.04-0.010.041750%-0.0100.00250%-0.02
Alonzo Mourning-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.030.00350%-0.0200.00667%-0.04
Shaquille O'Neal-0.160,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.01-0.01930%-0.094-0.07922%-0.08
Dwyane Wade-0.210,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.24,-0.24,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.15-0.040.022637%-0.065-0.15475%0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.150.010.007100%0.1600.0000%0.00
Steve Blake0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.070.080.03675%0.141-0.024100%0.00
Travis Outlaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.10.100.050.060.011751%0.1000.00540%-0.06
Brandon Roy0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.050.041558%0.122-0.041385%0.03
LaMarcus Aldridge0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.040.050.011258%0.101-0.0200%0.00
Channing Frye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01-0.00550%0.0300.002100%0.01
Raef LaFrentz0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01450%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joel Przybilla0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.00-0.00233%-0.0200.0020%-0.04
Sergio Rodriguez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.02-0.00450%0.032-0.0500%0.00
Martell Webster0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01633%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jarrett Jack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.010.00558%0.064-0.122100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game31.83.628.219.726.13.842.0155.2
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
POR +42.4%
POR +2.8%
MIA -1.0%
POR +4.6%
POR +1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAPORNBAMIAPORNBA
this game14.416.515.4112.8120.4105.7
season16.016.799.0105.5
opponent15.415.4106.1108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA15.013.514.314.614.4
POR15.617.817.714.816.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shaquille O'Neal39400.02-0.520.54-0.011-7815.913.32.5817.016.01.01
Jason Williams6162-0.15-0.350.19-0.181-7814.713.71.0215.518.3-2.81
Dorell Wright4139-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.18-3-3014.913.91.0018.215.23.02
Udonis Haslem8181-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.18-5-1-413.618.8-5.2016.118.6-2.45
Dwyane Wade8080-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.360-6614.215.1-0.8316.615.21.42
Ricky Davis8079-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.35-4-2-214.115.7-1.5916.416.8-0.39
Alonzo Mourning2624-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.12-126-1814.814.20.6217.915.91.97
Daequan Cook6260-0.48-0.02-0.45-0.24-82-1013.915.2-1.3515.518.1-2.54

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Travis Outlaw58580.470.030.440.277-1815.917.4-1.5214.314.5-0.18
James Jones56570.470.030.440.2960615.817.5-1.7213.315.9-2.61
LaMarcus Aldridge63640.420.080.340.3333015.717.9-2.1913.915.3-1.33
Steve Blake56580.400.100.300.2842216.915.81.1114.414.30.09
Brandon Roy74740.370.130.240.3415-416.316.9-0.6214.215.1-0.94
Channing Frye14140.180.32-0.15-0.068-21014.016.9-2.8914.114.4-0.26
Sergio Rodriguez19200.130.37-0.24-0.0251416.916.30.6215.114.20.94
Jarrett Jack37360.100.40-0.300.0424-215.816.9-1.1114.314.4-0.09
Martell Webster37380.030.47-0.440.0306-617.515.81.7215.513.61.95
Joel Przybilla4443-0.010.51-0.510.08-39-1218.714.44.3615.113.81.31
Raef LaFrentz78-0.060.56-0.610.03-39-1218.016.31.6716.614.22.47


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.76,0.83,0.83,0.78,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.82,0.85,0.79,0.87,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.79,0.76,0.81,0.75,0.6,0.83,0.75,0.85,0.98,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 82, IND 850.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.82,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.95,0.99,193.8%
TOR 89, MIA 920.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.71,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.71,0.78,0.69,0.84,0.91,0.96,193.6%
TOR 98, POR 1090.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.75,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.88,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.92,0.83,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.82,0.8,0.94,0.99,1,193.6%