NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	82		Excitement	6.1 [351]		MVP	Rik Smits (IND): +15.0%
Indiana Pacers	85		Comeback	1.1 [544]		LVP	Matt Geiger (PHI): -25.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Hill	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Rick Mahorn	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.01	10	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04	0.02	-0.04	0.02	8	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	6	42%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.04	0.03	7	57%	-0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17	-0.16	-0.02	-0.01	28	35%	-0.17	0	0.00	10	90%	0.07
Matt Geiger	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.28,-0.28,-0.25	-0.16	-0.12	-0.02	17	43%	-0.09	5	-0.16	8	75%	0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rik Smits	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.05	-0.03	23	53%	0.15	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.07	0.00	19	45%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	5	43%	0.00	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.00
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	9	40%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	40%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	5	58%	0.01	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	2	17%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	4	54%	-0.05	1	-0.04	5	60%	0.01
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	9	32%	-0.09	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.5	26.4	17.5	23.3	0.3	48.0	140.9
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +44.0%

PHI -10.3%

IND +15.5%

PHI -1.1%

IND +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	IND	NBA	PHI	IND	NBA
this game	15.4	18.2	15.8	93.2	101.2	99.6
season	15.6	16.4		97.0	105.4
opponent	16.0	15.9		101.2	94.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.2	15.9	16.9	13.8	15.4
IND	16.9	20.9	20.1	15.6	18.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	23	25	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-3	3	14.0	15.9	-1.86	17.8	18.3	-0.54
Rick Mahorn	5	5	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	-2	1	14.8	15.4	-0.61	19.4	18.1	1.30
Larry Hughes	41	38	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.26	0	-3	3	14.5	16.1	-1.62	16.6	19.5	-2.82
Matt Geiger	63	60	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.32	1	-4	5	15.8	14.3	1.47	16.5	22.3	-5.82
George Lynch	53	49	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.37	2	-5	7	15.2	15.6	-0.37	18.3	17.9	0.40
Tyrone Hill	42	36	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.11	-7	4	-11	14.2	16.5	-2.31	20.6	16.4	4.16
Theo Ratliff	59	59	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.26	-2	-1	-1	16.5	13.0	3.54	20.2	13.4	6.86
Eric Snow	71	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.29	-5	2	-7	15.3	15.8	-0.56	17.5	20.7	-3.24
Allen Iverson	83	82	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.45	-3	0	-3	15.9	7.2	8.67	18.1	21.5	-3.40

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Miller	66	70	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.37	5	-2	7	17.4	21.0	-3.59	15.4	15.3	0.12
Mark Jackson	58	59	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.38	1	2	-1	17.6	19.5	-1.86	15.4	15.3	0.10
Dale Davis	60	62	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.32	2	1	1	17.3	20.4	-3.13	15.7	14.6	1.08
Jalen Rose	54	55	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.44	-3	6	-9	18.1	18.3	-0.19	14.3	17.2	-2.89
Rik Smits	53	56	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.13	6	-3	9	18.1	18.3	-0.23	16.0	14.2	1.77
Antonio Davis	27	29	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.18	2	1	1	21.5	16.6	4.87	14.4	15.9	-1.49
Chris Mullin	33	37	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.03	7	-4	11	18.2	18.2	0.01	16.6	14.5	2.15
Travis Best	26	29	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	1	1	19.5	17.6	1.86	15.3	15.4	-0.10
Sam Perkins	22	22	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.08	-1	4	-5	21.1	17.1	3.95	16.3	15.1	1.26
Derrick McKey	21	21	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.16	-6	9	-15	16.2	18.8	-2.59	13.7	15.9	-2.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.82,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.95,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 90, PHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.75,0.88,0.96,0.99,1	94.7%
IND 89, NYK 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.75,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.99,1	94.6%
CLE 102, SAC 113	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.74,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.85,0.76,0.79,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.85,0.74,0.68,0.78,0.7,0.75,0.58,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.77,0.9,0.97,1,1,1	94.4%