NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	90		Excitement	6.0 [582]		MVP	Jerry Stackhouse (PHI): +16.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	96		Comeback	1.0 [989]		LVP	Greg Anthony (VAN): -16.6%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Roy Rogers	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.07	0.02	11	73%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pete Chilcutt	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.00	2	150%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Richard Manning	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Mobley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	5	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Lawrence Moten	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	12	42%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01
George Lynch	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	9	50%	-0.01	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.03
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	9	42%	-0.10	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Greg Anthony	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.07	-0.02	14	40%	-0.03	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.10	0.01	18	67%	0.23	3	-0.06	10	90%	0.01
Rex Walters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Cage	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.00	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	0.02	-0.05	14	66%	0.17	10	-0.22	7	86%	0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	7	43%	-0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	11	44%	-0.06	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.03
Don MacLean	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	10	41%	-0.04	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	1.8	24.2	14.7	25.3	1.6	36.0	125.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +27.7%

PHI +3.4%

PHI +14.3%

VAN -4.7%

PHI +9.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	PHI	NBA	VAN	PHI	NBA
this game	15.1	13.9	15.6	90.9	96.0	104.4
season	16.3	14.7		97.9	101.4
opponent	14.7	15.5		108.4	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	13.1	16.9	15.0	15.6	15.1
PHI	12.2	12.4	16.3	15.0	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pete Chilcutt	19	19	0.08	-0.57	0.64	-0.19	9	-15	24	15.5	15.0	0.54	16.8	13.2	3.68
Eric Mobley	35	34	0.04	-0.53	0.57	-0.14	6	-12	18	14.5	15.4	-0.94	14.7	13.4	1.33
George Lynch	72	70	-0.04	-0.45	0.41	-0.10	2	-8	10	14.3	17.1	-2.78	14.1	13.3	0.80
Lawrence Moten	55	57	-0.22	-0.27	0.05	0.01	-8	2	-10	14.8	15.4	-0.57	12.3	16.0	-3.71
Richard Manning	25	25	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.08	-12	6	-18	16.2	14.7	1.48	12.9	14.2	-1.25
Roy Rogers	57	58	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.24	-6	0	-6	15.6	14.4	1.27	14.2	13.4	0.78
Anthony Peeler	53	51	-0.42	-0.07	-0.34	-0.36	-2	-4	2	16.4	13.5	2.89	14.5	13.1	1.41
Greg Anthony	70	72	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.12	-13	7	-20	15.4	14.4	0.96	13.6	14.6	-1.04
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	66	68	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.17	-12	6	-18	15.2	14.9	0.27	12.8	16.1	-3.24

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Coleman	83	82	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.27	10	-4	14	13.7	14.6	-0.95	14.9	16.1	-1.17
Jerry Stackhouse	81	80	0.46	0.03	0.43	0.34	4	2	2	13.7	14.7	-1.02	15.3	14.3	0.96
Allen Iverson	81	80	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.29	4	2	2	13.8	14.1	-0.30	14.7	16.8	-2.17
Scott Williams	68	69	0.29	0.20	0.09	0.41	-4	10	-14	14.1	13.4	0.62	15.4	14.4	1.04
Mark Davis	17	16	0.24	0.25	-0.01	0.01	8	-2	10	11.4	14.4	-2.95	15.6	15.0	0.64
Clar. Weatherspoon	78	79	0.22	0.27	-0.05	0.31	-3	9	-12	14.3	12.5	1.80	15.5	13.6	1.81
Michael Cage	30	28	0.19	0.30	-0.11	-0.04	8	-2	10	14.2	13.7	0.53	14.9	15.2	-0.28
Doug Overton	19	19	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	4	-2	14.1	13.8	0.30	16.8	14.7	2.17
Rex Walters	21	21	0.04	0.45	-0.41	-0.08	4	2	2	13.4	14.0	-0.55	13.6	15.5	-1.87
Don MacLean	22	21	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	9	-12	15.0	13.6	1.40	14.1	15.4	-1.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.75,0.88,0.96,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 82, IND 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.82,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.95,0.99,1	94.7%
HOU 83, LAC 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.89,0.84,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.81,0.71,0.75,0.84,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.85,0.84,0.75,0.8,0.72,0.69,0.65,0.73,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.99,1	93.6%
IND 89, NYK 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.75,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.99,1	93.3%