NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	83		Excitement	4.9 [828]		MVP	Elton Brand (LAC): +8.2%
Los Angeles Clippers	90		Comeback	1.2 [994]		LVP	Cuttino Mobley (HOU): -14.2%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Moochie Norris	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07	-0.00	0.05	-0.01	9	56%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	9	58%	0.07	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Glen Rice	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0,0	0.06	-0.04	0.01	11	68%	0.10	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Oscar Torres	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Steve Francis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.03	14	57%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Griffin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	57%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Kevin Willis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	12	40%	-0.05	3	-0.09	6	67%	-0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.04	-0.03	14	64%	0.13	3	-0.05	5	20%	-0.04
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	5	60%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	2	80%	0.07	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.02
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.05	-0.01	15	50%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	7	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.01	10	57%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	80%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	31.0	15.8	25.2	2.7	29.0	129.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +20.8%

LAC +6.7%

HOU -1.7%

LAC +20.5%

LAC +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	LAC	NBA	HOU	LAC	NBA
this game	18.0	15.7	15.6	97.6	104.7	102.3
season	16.8	15.9		100.9	103.6
opponent	15.4	15.2		104.1	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	18.0	18.6	18.9	16.8	18.0
LAC	13.3	15.7	14.7	19.2	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Oscar Torres	8	9	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-8	9	17.5	18.1	-0.60	16.6	15.5	1.01
Kevin Willis	32	32	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.06	0	-7	7	18.2	17.9	0.33	13.9	16.7	-2.78
Eddie Griffin	18	19	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-6	5	18.1	18.0	0.08	13.8	16.2	-2.32
Moochie Norris	35	36	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.35	7	-14	21	17.6	18.4	-0.81	17.4	14.4	2.94
Walt Williams	37	38	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.17	-5	-2	-3	17.7	18.3	-0.56	16.8	14.8	1.99
Kelvin Cato	45	45	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.28	-1	-6	5	18.3	17.7	0.56	17.0	14.2	2.83
Glen Rice	66	66	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.31	-1	-6	5	17.8	19.1	-1.30	16.1	14.2	1.89
Steve Francis	55	54	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.04	-13	6	-19	18.5	17.1	1.41	14.3	17.9	-3.59
Kenny Thomas	57	58	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.00	-13	6	-19	18.2	17.6	0.60	14.9	17.1	-2.21
Cuttino Mobley	72	73	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.22	-9	2	-11	18.0	18.5	-0.58	15.7	15.5	0.22

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff McInnis	65	64	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.25	17	-10	27	15.8	15.0	0.80	18.6	16.3	2.34
Michael Olowokandi	51	49	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.23	10	-3	13	16.5	14.4	2.16	18.1	17.9	0.18
Elton Brand	78	77	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.28	6	1	5	15.9	13.4	2.51	17.7	21.6	-3.95
Corey Maggette	36	36	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.23	7	0	7	17.0	14.7	2.32	18.8	17.5	1.36
Lamar Odom	61	59	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.26	4	3	1	16.0	14.8	1.20	17.6	19.0	-1.43
Eric Piatkowski	34	34	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.03	5	2	3	15.0	16.1	-1.08	18.5	17.8	0.71
Sean Rooks	8	8	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.01	1	6	-5	13.4	15.9	-2.51	21.6	17.7	3.95
Quentin Richardson	41	41	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	9	-11	14.5	16.7	-2.22	17.6	18.4	-0.80
Darius Miles	35	36	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.07	-3	10	-13	14.4	16.5	-2.16	17.9	18.1	-0.18
Earl Boykins	21	21	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	0.05	-10	17	-27	15.0	15.8	-0.80	16.3	18.6	-2.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.89,0.84,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.81,0.71,0.75,0.84,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.85,0.84,0.75,0.8,0.72,0.69,0.65,0.73,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 102, WAS 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.85,0.81,0.77,0.83,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.66,0.76,0.63,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.69,0.85,0.96,0.96,1	94.4%
PHX 108, DET 110	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.85,0.87,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.75,0.67,0.81,0.64,0.65,0.83,0.81,0.93,0.95,0.84,1	93.8%
IND 89, NYK 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.75,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.99,1	93.7%