inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 102 Excitement6.0 [610] MVPMitch Richmond (WAS): +25.7%
Washington Wizards 109 Comeback1.1 [211] LVPKobe Bryant (LAL): -31.5%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Glen Rice0.240,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.240.100.12-0.021761%0.2400.002100%0.01
Derek Fisher0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.040.040.001150%0.0800.0000%0.00
Robert Horry0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.020.03-0.02-0.01767%0.041-0.01475%-0.01
Shaquille O'Neal-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.010.04-0.020.022561%0.063-0.071662%-0.03
A.C. Green-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.010.02470%0.011-0.03250%-0.01
Ron Harper-0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.00-0.010.01470%0.012-0.042100%0.01
Travis Knight-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.020.0000%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Brian Shaw-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.01533%-0.021-0.022100%0.01
Rick Fox-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.06-0.04-0.0010%-0.022-0.0800%0.00
Kobe Bryant-0.320,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32-0.21-0.12-0.021029%-0.116-0.21475%-0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mitch Richmond0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.260.260.090.170.001570%0.302-0.041694%0.05
Chris Whitney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.120.120.090.040.003125%0.161-0.032100%0.01
Jahidi White0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.010.05-0.00650%0.0700.0000%0.00
Don Reid0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.020.003100%0.081-0.021100%0.00
Gerard King0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.06-0.000.01865%0.0500.001100%0.00
Tracy Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.060.000.02771%0.0400.00367%-0.01
Richard Hamilton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Aaron Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00-0.00450%0.0100.0000%0.00
Ike Austin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.01050%-0.0100.00450%-0.01
Juwan Howard0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.13-0.05-0.041541%-0.034-0.11450%-0.00
Rod Strickland0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.22,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.17-0.04-0.011428%-0.113-0.09475%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.11.833.315.426.62.640.3145.1
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +19.8%
WAS +11.8%
LAL -5.4%
WAS +22.0%
WAS +1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALWASNBALALWASNBA
this game15.216.015.2110.9117.2101.7
season15.315.5105.6101.1
opponent14.815.1104.498.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
LAL16.414.815.014.515.2
WAS13.614.618.517.516.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Travis Knight12110.29-0.791.080.058-152312.215.6-3.4518.915.63.34
Derek Fisher21210.01-0.510.53-0.135-121714.015.5-1.5117.615.52.07
Ron Harper4041-0.09-0.410.33-0.06-1-6514.715.5-0.7316.215.80.45
A.C. Green4242-0.14-0.360.23-0.11-1-6515.315.10.2316.215.70.49
Rick Fox1920-0.17-0.330.15-0.263-101315.215.20.0615.816.0-0.15
Glen Rice7575-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.06-92-1115.314.60.6315.617.4-1.83
Robert Horry5657-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.20-6-1-515.215.2-0.0115.217.2-2.09
Kobe Bryant6364-0.44-0.06-0.39-0.24-70-715.514.41.0916.215.40.86
Brian Shaw6060-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.17-114-1515.514.60.9214.917.8-2.87
Shaquille O'Neal7274-0.780.28-1.05-0.31-169-2515.514.11.3616.414.32.08

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mitch Richmond75740.57-0.070.630.1514-72115.716.9-1.2115.414.11.31
Rod Strickland77760.56-0.060.620.1514-72115.916.1-0.1115.015.9-0.94
Juwan Howard89880.52-0.020.540.269-21116.112.23.8815.116.5-1.40
Jahidi White40400.390.110.290.2261516.915.31.6416.514.12.41
Tracy Murray61600.390.110.270.3034-116.415.21.2415.813.91.88
Gerard King33340.200.30-0.100.0261515.716.1-0.4713.716.0-2.36
Don Reid22210.110.39-0.28-0.0143116.315.90.4016.814.72.07
Ike Austin650.020.48-0.460.0207-711.716.3-4.6017.215.02.15
Chris Whitney1919-0.050.55-0.600.10-512-1713.816.5-2.7413.915.5-1.60
Richard Hamilton1818-0.070.57-0.630.14-714-2116.915.71.2114.115.4-1.31
Aaron Williams2525-0.140.64-0.780.12-916-2515.716.1-0.3413.415.8-2.48


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.85,0.81,0.77,0.83,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.66,0.76,0.63,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.69,0.85,0.96,0.96,1
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 83, LAC 900.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.89,0.84,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.81,0.71,0.75,0.84,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.85,0.84,0.75,0.8,0.72,0.69,0.65,0.73,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.99,194.4%
GSW 100, DAL 1070.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.86,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.87,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.71,0.76,0.63,0.74,0.76,0.54,0.75,0.79,0.9,1,193.8%
NOK 99, SAC 1050.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.83,0.92,0.87,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.67,0.76,0.81,0.74,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.96,193.6%