NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	108		Excitement	8.1 [241]		MVP	Josh Smith (DET): +71.9%
Detroit Pistons	110		Comeback	1.1 [785]		LVP	Kyle Singler (DET): -18.7%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
PJ Tucker	0.28	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.28	0.07	0.22	0.01	13	61%	0.31	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Green	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,0.19	-0.02	0.23	0.01	17	38%	0.19	0	0.00	5	80%	0.17
Channing Frye	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.03	0.02	14	66%	0.16	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Miles Plumlee	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	10	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	9	45%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Morris	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.05	0.02	10	65%	0.05	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.03
Alex Len	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	9	62%	0.09	6	-0.18	6	83%	0.02
Ish Smith	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	7	14%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.72	0.72	0.14	0.60	0.02	16	71%	0.79	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.09	-0.00	8	56%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	-0.01	11	62%	0.15	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Greg Monroe	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	14	51%	0.08	1	-0.02	11	73%	-0.01
Andre Drummond	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	9	52%	0.07	1	-0.02	7	43%	-0.04
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	8	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Jennings	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.14	-0.02	-0.04	14	29%	-0.07	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.16	-0.05	-0.02	9	33%	-0.03	6	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.5	31.3	16.5	27.6	3.4	37.2	139.7
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +80.0%

PHX -35.6%

DET +10.7%

PHX -8.7%

DET +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DET	NBA	PHX	DET	NBA
this game	14.5	14.1	15.1	108.0	107.8	105.2
season	14.7	15.0		107.7	104.7
opponent	15.0	14.9		108.4	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.5	13.1	14.4	14.7	14.5
DET	11.1	15.1	13.3	17.4	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ish Smith	38	38	0.23	-0.73	0.95	-0.13	12	-14	26	13.8	14.9	-1.08	13.8	14.2	-0.43
Alex Len	13	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-3	4	14.8	14.4	0.36	16.0	13.7	2.28
Marcus Morris	44	45	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.19	5	-7	12	13.8	15.0	-1.15	14.3	13.9	0.41
Markieff Morris	18	19	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.03	-6	4	-10	14.8	14.4	0.39	11.8	14.6	-2.72
Leandro Barbosa	41	43	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.32	5	-7	12	13.8	14.9	-1.11	15.1	13.3	1.75
Channing Frye	70	70	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.48	6	-8	14	14.1	15.4	-1.30	15.0	12.0	2.95
Miles Plumlee	48	50	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.02	-15	13	-28	15.2	13.7	1.52	12.7	15.4	-2.70
PJ Tucker	88	89	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.37	-4	2	-6	14.7	12.7	1.94	13.6	16.9	-3.28
Gerald Green	69	69	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.37	-4	2	-6	14.7	14.0	0.67	14.2	13.7	0.53
Goran Dragic	71	72	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.35	-10	8	-18	14.8	13.6	1.23	14.0	14.1	-0.06

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Monroe	57	59	0.88	-0.38	1.25	0.52	12	-10	22	13.4	14.9	-1.49	15.2	13.5	1.69
Brandon Jennings	91	89	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.44	13	-11	24	13.4	19.5	-6.05	14.5	14.2	0.31
Josh Smith	77	76	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.33	10	-8	18	14.1	14.0	0.02	15.3	11.9	3.40
Andre Drummond	63	57	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.25	2	0	2	13.7	14.6	-0.94	13.8	15.3	-1.52
Will Bynum	48	48	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.37	-11	13	-24	15.5	12.8	2.76	13.5	15.4	-1.93
Charlie Villanueva	16	16	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.11	-4	6	-10	16.2	13.7	2.60	13.7	14.6	-0.92
Kyle Singler	56	56	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	5	-8	14.0	14.1	-0.09	13.9	15.2	-1.33
Rodney Stuckey	48	45	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	5	-8	13.0	15.0	-2.08	14.0	14.9	-0.92
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	54	54	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.11	-6	8	-14	15.3	12.6	2.71	15.3	13.4	1.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.85,0.87,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.75,0.67,0.81,0.64,0.65,0.83,0.81,0.93,0.95,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 89, NYK 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.75,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.99,1	94.1%
PHI 82, IND 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.82,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.95,0.99,1	93.8%
HOU 83, LAC 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.89,0.84,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.81,0.71,0.75,0.84,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.85,0.84,0.75,0.8,0.72,0.69,0.65,0.73,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.99,1	93.8%