NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	94		Excitement	7.1 [386]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): +30.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	100		Comeback	1.2 [390]		LVP	Dwight Howard (LAL): -16.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.29	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.28,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.13	0.19	0.03	28	64%	0.39	5	-0.10	10	70%	0.09
Jodie Meeks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Duhon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	10	41%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Darius Morris	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	12	46%	0.02	3	-0.09	4	25%	-0.04
Devin Ebanks	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16	-0.07	-0.05	0.04	9	47%	-0.06	4	-0.10	22	59%	-0.09

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.3	0.30	0.08	0.19	-0.03	21	62%	0.38	4	-0.08	3	67%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.18	0.10	0.04	18	70%	0.26	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	-0.01	13	61%	0.15	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.01
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.05	-0.00	6	43%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	14	53%	0.09	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Samardo Samuels	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	3	10%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.07
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Jeremy Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.0	28.1	15.7	28.0	1.8	36.2	136.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +54.9%

LAL -14.3%

LAL -8.0%

CLE +16.7%

CLE +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	CLE	NBA	LAL	CLE	NBA
this game	14.4	14.5	15.4	94.0	101.0	104.1
season	14.9	15.5		106.0	102.5
opponent	15.2	15.3		107.7	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.3	14.3	13.7	14.4	14.4
CLE	14.0	13.9	16.3	13.8	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Ebanks	14	12	0.17	-0.67	0.85	-0.03	7	-13	20	14.7	14.4	0.32	15.1	14.4	0.66
Darius Morris	14	16	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-4	2	12.5	14.8	-2.26	15.4	14.3	1.04
Antawn Jamison	63	61	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.31	7	-13	20	13.4	16.2	-2.73	14.8	14.1	0.69
Jodie Meeks	44	45	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.04	-5	-1	-4	14.1	14.7	-0.66	15.2	14.0	1.19
Jordan Hill	52	52	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	3	-12	15.7	13.1	2.57	14.1	15.0	-0.90
Chris Duhon	68	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.35	-2	-4	2	14.6	14.0	0.65	14.4	14.8	-0.39
Kobe Bryant	87	83	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.21	-7	1	-8	14.4	14.4	0.06	14.0	17.2	-3.20
Metta World Peace	73	73	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.32	-9	3	-12	14.8	13.5	1.26	14.5	14.5	0.06
Dwight Howard	85	85	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.32	-10	4	-14	14.4	14.5	-0.03	14.6	14.1	0.51

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyrie Irving	78	80	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.29	12	-6	18	14.3	15.4	-1.17	14.5	14.3	0.11
CJ Miles	75	76	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.30	7	-1	8	14.3	15.2	-0.87	15.0	12.6	2.39
Anderson Varejao	72	75	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.21	9	-3	12	13.9	16.1	-2.21	14.2	15.3	-1.12
Alonzo Gee	83	86	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.23	5	1	4	14.0	17.2	-3.20	14.4	14.8	-0.40
Tyler Zeller	61	59	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.21	2	4	-2	14.4	14.7	-0.25	12.9	16.7	-3.76
Tristan Thompson	64	64	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.22	1	5	-4	15.4	12.8	2.64	16.3	11.1	5.24
Omri Casspi	24	23	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.12	0	6	-6	16.1	14.0	2.08	14.1	14.5	-0.46
Samardo Samuels	1	2	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	6	-6	4.0	14.6	-10.61	10.0	14.5	-4.53
Daniel Gibson	16	15	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	6	-6	15.8	14.3	1.56	12.4	14.8	-2.40
Jeremy Pargo	21	20	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.03	-6	12	-18	15.4	14.3	1.17	14.3	14.5	-0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.72,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.84,0.92,0.89,0.84,0.82,0.75,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.78,0.76,0.63,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.89,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 101, MEM 107	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.68,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.86,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.73,0.81,0.68,0.66,0.77,0.79,0.75,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.87,0.86,0.79,0.94,0.99,1	93.4%
NYK 92, SAS 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.73,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,1	93.4%
IND 98, SAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.88,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.87,0.83,0.68,0.78,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.79,0.81,0.73,0.8,0.79,0.94,0.95,1	93.4%