NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	92		Excitement	6.3 [569]		MVP	Shawne Williams (NYK): +7.7%
San Antonio Spurs	101		Comeback	1.4 [1165]		LVP	Raymond Felton (NYK): -20.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawne Williams	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.02	13	50%	0.01	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Ronny Turiaf	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	9	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Henry Walker	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	14	39%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	10	30%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	25	35%	-0.16	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Raymond Felton	-0.21	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.07	-0.06	0.08	21	50%	-0.05	6	-0.16	4	100%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.05	-0.01	4	75%	0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.01	0.02	15	58%	0.09	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	12	62%	0.18	5	-0.14	5	40%	-0.03
Larry Owens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	11	45%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0	-0.00	0.01	0.01	0.02	14	70%	0.14	6	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Chris Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	18	38%	-0.08	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.06	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	2.8	32.2	18.8	23.0	2.8	38.3	146.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +62.1%

NYK -0.2%

SAS +1.4%

NYK -11.8%

NYK -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	SAS	NBA	NYK	SAS	NBA
this game	13.7	16.0	15.5	93.9	105.2	105.7
season	14.3	15.5		108.6	109.3
opponent	15.2	15.5		103.6	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.4	14.8	15.3	11.6	13.7
SAS	14.3	15.2	17.5	17.2	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawne Williams	18	18	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.11	5	-14	19	13.8	13.7	0.15	18.7	15.4	3.28
Henry Walker	11	10	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.00	-1	-8	7	16.2	13.4	2.78	18.1	15.8	2.34
Wilson Chandler	64	61	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.20	2	-11	13	13.4	14.2	-0.80	16.0	16.1	-0.13
Toney Douglas	64	62	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.26	1	-10	11	13.6	13.9	-0.30	15.9	16.2	-0.36
Landry Fields	50	49	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-10	1	-11	14.0	13.5	0.50	16.6	15.4	1.13
Raymond Felton	79	78	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.20	-6	-3	-3	13.3	15.5	-2.18	15.4	18.7	-3.35
Ronny Turiaf	56	56	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.10	-11	2	-13	14.8	12.3	2.54	15.6	16.5	-0.90
Danilo Gallinari	71	69	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	3	-15	13.0	15.6	-2.64	15.5	17.4	-1.91
Amar'e Stoudemire	77	77	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.15	-13	4	-17	13.8	13.4	0.42	16.3	14.8	1.44

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	71	73	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.06	18	-9	27	15.3	18.1	-2.87	13.9	13.3	0.58
DeJuan Blair	82	83	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.21	12	-3	15	16.6	12.5	4.10	14.0	12.4	1.55
Tony Parker	76	77	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.12	14	-5	19	15.5	18.0	-2.53	13.6	14.0	-0.36
Gary Neal	64	64	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.20	5	4	1	15.5	16.9	-1.36	14.6	12.1	2.49
Larry Owens	23	21	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.10	7	2	5	11.7	17.3	-5.60	11.3	14.4	-3.03
Manu Ginobili	59	64	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.03	9	0	9	17.1	14.3	2.81	13.3	14.5	-1.20
Richard Jefferson	50	51	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	10	-11	16.9	15.0	1.92	13.7	13.7	-0.06
Tiago Splitter	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	13	-17	5.0	16.4	-11.35	3.7	14.0	-10.36
Chris Quinn	20	21	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.12	-5	14	-19	18.0	15.5	2.53	14.0	13.6	0.36
Antonio McDyess	32	33	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.08	-10	19	-29	17.7	15.2	2.53	14.4	13.4	1.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.73,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 93, IND 98	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.68,0.78,0.78,0.9,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.93,0.98,0.85,0.92,1	94.7%
MIN 93, UTA 108	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.89,1,1,1	94.4%
HOU 98, TOR 116	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.67,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.74,0.79,0.74,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%