NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	98		Excitement	5.2 [624]		MVP	DeMar DeRozan (TOR): +15.7%
Toronto Raptors	116		Comeback	1.2 [553]		LVP	Terrence Williams (HOU): -14.4%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Goran Dragic	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.04	0.00	7	70%	0.13	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.03
Chandler Parsons	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	-0.02	0.03	9	73%	0.09	2	-0.04	8	75%	-0.00
Kyle Lowry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.01	8	70%	0.12	3	-0.10	7	100%	0.04
Patrick Patterson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	11	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Marcus Morris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Luis Scola	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	8	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Courtney Lee	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	6	25%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	9	58%	0.04	4	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
Kevin Martin	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	7	37%	-0.03	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Terrence Williams	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	4	25%	-0.07	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.04	-0.00	16	57%	0.16	0	0.00	8	87%	0.03
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.02	10	70%	0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	11	71%	0.13	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	87%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
James Johnson	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.01	3	83%	0.06	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.02
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	3	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.10	0.03	0.09	13	73%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.01	0.02	13	54%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	3	62%	0.04	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	0.6	31.4	15.5	30.4	2.5	28.3	136.0
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +53.1%

HOU -14.2%

HOU -3.6%

TOR +14.1%

TOR +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	TOR	NBA	HOU	TOR	NBA
this game	14.8	15.2	15.6	103.2	119.6	102.8
season	15.4	16.5		103.5	98.9
opponent	15.2	15.5		102.9	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.7	15.2	13.6	14.8	14.8
TOR	15.7	13.0	17.0	15.2	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Morris	7	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-17	16	11.4	15.1	-3.66	12.2	15.4	-3.19
Luis Scola	44	45	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.05	-5	-13	8	14.9	14.7	0.16	15.3	15.1	0.21
Kevin Martin	41	40	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.03	-6	-12	6	14.0	15.4	-1.36	14.5	15.7	-1.19
Terrence Williams	22	22	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.03	-7	-11	4	14.7	14.9	-0.18	16.1	14.9	1.24
Courtney Lee	50	53	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.08	-12	-6	-6	15.8	13.7	2.15	15.5	14.8	0.61
Kyle Lowry	51	51	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.04	-11	-7	-4	14.3	15.4	-1.14	14.6	15.8	-1.16
Chandler Parsons	82	83	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.02	-11	-7	-4	14.8	14.7	0.15	15.3	14.1	1.21
Samuel Dalembert	71	71	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.02	-11	-7	-4	14.2	16.6	-2.36	14.8	16.3	-1.49
Patrick Patterson	56	58	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.00	-12	-6	-6	15.7	13.6	2.05	15.7	14.4	1.24
Goran Dragic	51	54	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.06	-14	-4	-10	15.3	14.3	1.02	15.6	14.6	0.98

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMar DeRozan	78	79	0.61	-0.11	0.71	-0.16	26	-8	34	15.2	15.0	0.22	14.8	15.1	-0.29
Jose Calderon	70	70	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.18	24	-6	30	15.0	15.6	-0.63	14.7	15.0	-0.30
Amir Johnson	54	56	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.20	22	-4	26	15.3	15.0	0.27	15.6	13.7	1.83
Aaron Gray	49	48	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.02	13	5	8	14.7	15.6	-0.93	14.2	15.5	-1.32
James Johnson	35	35	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.02	9	9	0	14.6	15.5	-0.86	14.3	15.1	-0.76
Leandro Barbosa	52	50	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.03	8	10	-2	15.7	14.6	1.07	14.6	15.0	-0.38
Linas Kleiza	47	45	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.08	8	10	-2	15.3	15.0	0.32	16.2	13.6	2.58
Rasual Butler	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	21	-24	12.5	15.4	-2.85	8.2	15.2	-6.99
Ed Davis	50	47	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.24	-9	27	-36	15.0	15.3	-0.28	14.3	15.3	-1.04
Jerryd Bayless	27	25	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.15	-6	24	-30	15.6	15.0	0.63	15.0	14.7	0.30
Jamaal Magloire	17	15	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	20	-22	16.4	14.9	1.50	15.9	14.6	1.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.67,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.74,0.79,0.74,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.97,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 99, CHI 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.8,0.75,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.86,0.89,0.96,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	94.6%
IND 72, UTA 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.79,0.87,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.8,0.72,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.92,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
LAL 89, SEA 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.87,0.91,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1	94.1%