NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	99		Excitement	6.2 [605]		MVP	E'Twaun Moore (NOP): +13.6%
Chicago Bulls	107		Comeback	1.2 [915]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (NOP): -13.6%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
E'Twaun Moore	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.00	0.00	9	89%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0.12	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.15	0.04	0.07	23	64%	0.18	3	-0.06	10	80%	0.01
Terrence Jones	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.04	0.02	6	64%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Dante Cunningham	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.04	0.00	7	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Donatas Motiejunas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	0.03	15	42%	-0.02	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Buddy Hield	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14	-0.15	-0.01	-0.02	7	6%	-0.09	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.03	0.14	-0.00	24	42%	0.13	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Cristiano Felicio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	4	90%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	-0.00	0.04	16	67%	0.14	3	-0.07	10	70%	-0.02
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	9	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	12	42%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Taj Gibson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.04	14	47%	0.07	3	-0.06	4	25%	-0.03
Denzel Valentine	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	12	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	1.8	27.1	15.4	23.3	1.8	37.2	127.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +16.3%

NOP -14.2%

CHI +45.0%

CHI +1.8%

CHI +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	CHI	NBA	NOP	CHI	NBA
this game	13.7	16.1	14.8	103.1	110.3	107.7
season	14.1	15.1		104.1	105.9
opponent	14.8	15.0		105.9	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	14.1	15.3	12.5	13.1	13.7
CHI	15.9	16.7	16.8	15.2	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donatas Motiejunas	15	15	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.02	2	-10	12	14.1	13.6	0.50	14.3	16.5	-2.20
E'Twaun Moore	52	53	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.36	12	-20	32	13.4	14.1	-0.66	16.8	15.3	1.43
Dante Cunningham	38	37	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-4	0	14.7	13.1	1.57	14.7	17.0	-2.25
Buddy Hield	27	27	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.06	-9	1	-10	13.3	13.9	-0.57	14.5	16.7	-2.22
Tyreke Evans	46	46	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.21	0	-8	8	13.8	13.6	0.27	15.1	17.1	-2.01
Jrue Holiday	59	59	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	-4	0	13.2	14.5	-1.35	16.8	15.0	1.85
Anthony Davis	76	78	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.30	-1	-7	6	13.5	14.3	-0.81	16.6	14.0	2.64
Langston Galloway	24	26	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.08	-15	7	-22	15.2	13.2	2.00	17.8	15.5	2.35
Solomon Hill	72	75	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.14	-8	0	-8	13.6	14.1	-0.56	16.1	16.2	-0.13
Terrence Jones	71	69	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.17	-13	5	-18	13.6	13.9	-0.23	16.3	15.7	0.58

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwyane Wade	67	68	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.12	18	-10	28	15.5	17.6	-2.09	13.3	14.8	-1.52
Michael Carter-Williams	58	59	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.21	12	-4	16	16.5	15.5	0.98	13.3	14.4	-1.09
Cristiano Felicio	43	44	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.16	13	-5	18	15.3	16.8	-1.52	14.0	13.4	0.62
Taj Gibson	66	66	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.27	9	-1	10	16.4	15.5	0.99	13.2	14.7	-1.49
Jimmy Butler	78	76	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.30	1	7	-6	16.6	14.0	2.64	13.5	14.3	-0.81
Denzel Valentine	9	8	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.04	1	7	-6	19.6	15.8	3.78	16.0	13.5	2.50
Bobby Portis	31	30	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	9	-10	15.5	16.4	-0.99	14.7	13.2	1.49
Robin Lopez	54	52	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.10	-5	13	-18	16.8	15.3	1.52	13.4	14.0	-0.62
Doug McDermott	40	40	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	12	-16	15.4	16.6	-1.19	14.3	13.3	1.06
Rajon Rondo	39	37	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.05	-4	12	-16	15.5	16.5	-0.98	14.4	13.3	1.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.8,0.75,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.86,0.89,0.96,0.93,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 98, TOR 116	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.67,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.74,0.79,0.74,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
ATL 85, CHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.66,0.67,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.77,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.81,0.78,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.85,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
UTA 91, WAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.8%