inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 72 Excitement4.4 [944] MVPDarrell Armstrong (IND): +9.4%
Utah Jazz 94 Comeback1.0 [1273] LVPJamaal Tinsley (IND): -14.6%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.070.01-0.01875%0.121-0.0200%0.00
Jeff Foster0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.00267%0.0300.0020%-0.02
Rawle Marshall0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shawne Williams0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Ike Diogu-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02150%-0.0010.002100%0.00
Danny Granger-0.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.01-0.01955%0.022-0.024100%0.02
Jermaine O'Neal-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.001046%0.011-0.02475%0.00
Orien Greene-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Troy Murphy-0.090,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.04-0.021547%-0.004-0.082100%0.01
David Harrison-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.10-0.02-0.03460%-0.006-0.092100%0.00
Mike Dunleavy-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.16-0.01-0.03726%-0.064-0.07540%-0.03
Jamaal Tinsley-0.150,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.14-0.02-0.011221%-0.102-0.0500%0.00

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.02-0.00575%0.0800.00250%-0.01
Rafael Araujo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.01-0.02475%0.052-0.0200%0.00
Deron Williams0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.02-0.021361%0.105-0.082100%0.00
Paul Millsap0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.060.000.042100%0.0200.002100%0.00
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.01765%0.093-0.073100%0.01
Ronnie Brewer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01125%0.0000.00250%0.00
Dee Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.0100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jarron Collins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Carlos Boozer0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.00-0.021637%-0.0300.00667%-0.01
Mehmet Okur0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.01833%-0.0500.00875%-0.00
Matt Harpring0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.09-0.02-0.051347%0.075-0.124100%0.02
Gordan Giricek0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.06-0.010.05836%-0.101-0.026100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.01.827.015.425.62.531.2130.4
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +9.8%
UTA +13.0%
UTA +19.2%
UTA +6.6%
UTA +1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDUTANBAINDUTANBA
this game14.415.015.472.796.9104.5
season15.315.9101.3107.4
opponent15.015.3104.9103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND15.415.313.813.214.4
UTA12.816.816.914.015.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rawle Marshall770.00-0.500.500.03-1-212012.914.5-1.6614.015.1-1.07
Shawne Williams880.00-0.500.500.06-2-201812.414.6-2.2114.115.1-0.94
Ike Diogu1313-0.00-0.500.500.17-6-161012.514.7-2.1514.215.1-0.97
Orien Greene2322-0.05-0.450.390.06-4-181414.614.40.2113.615.4-1.75
David Harrison1820-0.07-0.430.370.05-4-181413.914.5-0.6314.515.1-0.55
Jeff Foster5052-0.16-0.340.18-0.10-2-201814.314.6-0.2915.314.70.60
Jermaine O'Neal4238-0.32-0.18-0.140.09-14-8-615.113.91.2814.515.3-0.85
Darrell Armstrong5049-0.34-0.15-0.19-0.05-10-12214.614.20.3215.314.60.72
Danny Granger7876-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.03-11-11014.314.8-0.5115.015.0-0.01
Jamaal Tinsley6059-0.37-0.13-0.250.21-20-2-1814.813.71.1315.314.50.81
Mike Dunleavy7170-0.38-0.12-0.260.15-18-4-1414.414.5-0.1315.114.70.40
Troy Murphy7571-0.45-0.05-0.400.08-18-4-1414.514.00.5315.314.01.30

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Deron Williams69720.60-0.100.70-0.1024-22615.513.71.7914.913.01.88
Paul Millsap37380.400.100.29-0.02148614.515.3-0.7714.114.6-0.57
Matt Harpring54530.330.170.16-0.171751214.615.5-0.9014.014.9-0.91
Gordan Giricek54540.260.240.01-0.071111014.715.4-0.7313.915.0-1.17
Mehmet Okur36380.210.29-0.08-0.17139416.214.31.9615.014.00.97
Jarron Collins41410.210.29-0.090.00715-814.115.6-1.5513.515.0-1.52
Andrei Kirilenko36390.170.33-0.160.05418-1415.814.51.2515.313.81.41
Derek Fisher58600.140.36-0.210.06319-1615.014.90.1114.514.20.37
Carlos Boozer62640.120.38-0.26-0.06616-1015.414.31.1014.414.30.09
Rafael Araujo25240.070.43-0.36-0.08517-1214.115.3-1.1715.014.20.79
Ronnie Brewer550.000.50-0.50-0.09319-1612.215.1-2.9413.214.5-1.27
Dee Brown870.000.50-0.50-0.09319-1614.115.1-0.9412.914.5-1.66


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.79,0.87,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.8,0.72,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.92,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 103, CHA 1180.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.82,0.92,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.68,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.83,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.6%
PHX 104, DAL 1190.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.81,0.75,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,195.3%
NJN 86, CHI 990.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.2%