inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 103 Excitement4.4 [948] MVPMarvin Williams (CHA): +15.1%
Charlotte Hornets 118 Comeback1.0 [1013] LVPAndre Drummond (DET): -4.4%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0.110,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.090.02-0.011667%0.163-0.054100%0.01
Aron Baynes0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.01657%0.0300.002100%0.01
Stanley Johnson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.011150%0.0300.0000%0.00
Reggie Jackson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.05-0.000.031559%0.062-0.044100%0.02
Darrun Hilliard0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.060.000.062100%0.0000.001100%0.00
Anthony Tolliver-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0430%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Steve Blake-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.010.02550%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Marcus Morris-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.01-0.011150%0.053-0.07450%-0.02
Reggie Bullock-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Tobias Harris-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.05-0.050.031459%0.032-0.066100%0.02
Andre Drummond-0.040,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.010.01162%0.002-0.04650%-0.03

Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marvin Williams0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.16-0.010.001279%0.181-0.03475%0.00
Frank Kaminsky0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.070.03-0.01671%0.101-0.00250%-0.01
Cody Zeller0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.080.010.00483%0.0900.004100%0.02
Courtney Lee0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.11-0.000.05979%0.071-0.021100%0.01
Al Jefferson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.050.011050%0.0500.00450%-0.02
Jeremy Lin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.00757%0.0500.0000%0.00
Kemba Walker0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.01-0.001152%0.083-0.079100%0.04
Tyler Hansbrough0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.042100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Troy Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jorge Gutierrez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Aaron Harrison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Nicolas Batum0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.02-0.01-0.021549%0.032-0.03580%-0.00
Jeremy Lamb0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.040.00-0.00520%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.62.433.416.427.52.529.2137.0
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHA +20.9%
CHA +11.1%
CHA +10.8%
CHA +7.3%
DET -0.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETCHANBADETCHANBA
this game14.415.314.9105.1122.9105.1
season15.015.1104.9105.5
opponent14.815.1103.6105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET13.815.813.015.014.4
CHA15.614.216.415.015.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Anthony Tolliver18180.03-0.530.55-0.125-202515.214.21.0014.615.4-0.84
Darrun Hilliard660.00-0.500.50-0.093-182114.214.4-0.2612.815.5-2.62
Steve Blake3532-0.12-0.380.26-0.151-161714.514.30.1715.315.3-0.02
Reggie Bullock3735-0.13-0.370.25-0.04-3-12914.614.30.2615.815.00.84
Aron Baynes5148-0.23-0.270.04-0.11-4-11714.114.7-0.5615.515.10.33
Stanley Johnson1919-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.06-7-8115.314.21.1312.715.9-3.25
Andre Drummond4748-0.27-0.23-0.040.05-11-4-714.714.10.5615.115.5-0.33
Marcus Morris6563-0.34-0.16-0.180.04-13-2-1114.214.8-0.5315.614.80.81
Tobias Harris7171-0.35-0.15-0.190.06-14-1-1314.115.2-1.1215.415.10.23
Reggie Jackson6364-0.38-0.12-0.260.09-161-1714.314.5-0.1715.315.30.02
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope7876-0.45-0.05-0.390.02-161-1714.414.5-0.1815.813.52.26

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Courtney Lee69700.70-0.200.900.0323-83115.315.30.0514.514.20.27
Nicolas Batum74760.51-0.010.53-0.0118-32115.315.20.0814.713.51.23
Cody Zeller51490.460.040.42-0.0417-21914.316.4-2.0414.714.10.53
Jeremy Lin44460.270.230.04-0.02105515.215.4-0.2014.614.20.34
Kemba Walker64650.270.230.030.12510-515.614.61.0014.015.2-1.21
Frank Kaminsky51510.250.250.00-0.04105515.115.5-0.4114.514.30.17
Marvin Williams49510.070.43-0.350.07015-1515.814.80.9514.214.6-0.40
Al Jefferson39430.040.46-0.420.10-217-1916.914.22.7514.114.6-0.48
Troy Daniels660.000.50-0.500.00015-1512.815.5-2.6214.214.4-0.26
Jorge Gutierrez660.000.50-0.500.00015-1512.815.5-2.6214.214.4-0.26
Aaron Harrison660.000.50-0.500.00015-1512.815.5-2.6214.214.4-0.26
Tyler Hansbrough660.000.50-0.500.00015-1512.815.5-2.6214.214.4-0.26
Jeremy Lamb1515-0.080.58-0.660.10-621-2716.115.11.0014.514.40.15


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.82,0.92,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.68,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.83,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 72, UTA 940.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.79,0.87,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.8,0.72,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.92,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.6%
PHX 104, DAL 1190.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.81,0.75,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,194.7%
ORL 76, MIA 960.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.92,0.82,0.89,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.5%