NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	104		Excitement	4.6 [876]		MVP	Steve Nash (DAL): +11.5%
Dallas Mavericks	119		Comeback	1.1 [1011]		LVP	Anfernee Hardaway (PHX): -8.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dan Majerle	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	1	125%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.03	13	60%	0.02	0	0.00	9	78%	0.01
Shawn Marion	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.00	0.03	15	59%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Bo Outlaw	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.01	26	53%	0.05	3	-0.08	6	50%	0.01
Tony Delk	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	16	44%	-0.02	3	-0.06	9	89%	0.04

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	-0.00	17	72%	0.21	4	-0.09	6	100%	0.01
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.00	4	80%	0.07	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	2	83%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	20	56%	0.04	0	0.00	17	82%	0.02
Donnell Harvey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	5	58%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Tim Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	18	50%	0.01	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	0.00	0.01	13	38%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	25.0	15.8	30.0	2.0	35.2	135.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +27.0%

DAL +0.4%

DAL +11.5%

DAL +6.3%

DAL +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DAL	NBA	PHX	DAL	NBA
this game	14.0	16.5	15.6	109.5	126.6	102.3
season	15.1	14.8		101.0	109.6
opponent	15.5	15.8		105.8	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.8	15.8	11.9	12.6	14.0
DAL	14.2	17.7	18.9	15.6	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Majerle	17	17	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.11	11	-26	37	11.9	14.4	-2.47	13.5	17.2	-3.72
Tony Delk	17	17	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.11	7	-22	29	13.6	14.1	-0.46	16.9	16.4	0.44
Bo Outlaw	45	46	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-14	13	12.4	15.4	-3.02	18.0	15.1	2.94
Jake Voskuhl	11	12	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.05	-6	-9	3	19.2	13.3	5.90	17.4	16.4	1.03
Rodney Rogers	70	67	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.15	0	-15	15	12.7	17.6	-4.93	16.3	17.1	-0.78
Stephon Marbury	88	86	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.04	-13	-2	-11	14.0	13.0	1.05	16.3	18.4	-2.03
Tom Gugliotta	59	58	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	0.05	-24	9	-33	16.0	10.7	5.27	16.4	16.7	-0.24
Shawn Marion	83	82	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	0.06	-25	10	-35	14.2	12.2	2.06	16.4	17.2	-0.74
Anfernee Hardaway	85	85	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	0.03	-24	9	-33	14.0	14.0	-0.04	16.6	15.6	1.07

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	84	85	0.69	-0.19	0.89	-0.10	27	-12	39	16.3	18.6	-2.33	13.9	14.4	-0.48
Michael Finley	94	95	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.06	15	0	15	16.5	0.0	16.52	14.0	0.0	13.97
Dirk Nowitzki	81	82	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.05	16	-1	17	15.8	21.2	-5.38	14.3	12.1	2.19
Adrian Griffin	61	62	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.03	9	6	3	16.7	16.2	0.52	13.3	15.2	-1.81
Juwan Howard	59	61	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.14	3	12	-9	18.2	13.8	4.38	13.4	15.1	-1.70
Greg Buckner	40	39	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.00	7	8	-1	14.0	18.4	-4.35	14.5	13.6	0.97
Shawn Bradley	24	25	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.06	8	7	1	19.0	15.7	3.38	15.7	13.4	2.32
Danny Manning	10	10	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.09	0	15	-15	18.9	16.2	2.66	13.9	14.0	-0.08
Donnell Harvey	6	5	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.06	0	15	-15	13.0	16.8	-3.76	14.2	14.0	0.24
Tim Hardaway	11	11	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.12	-10	25	-35	17.5	16.4	1.06	13.1	14.1	-0.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.81,0.75,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 97, UTA 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.4%
IND 72, UTA 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.79,0.87,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.8,0.72,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.92,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
NJN 86, CHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%