NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	86		Excitement	4.4 [904]		MVP	Steve Kerr (CHI): +15.5%
Chicago Bulls	99		Comeback	1.1 [1088]		LVP	Chris Gatling (NJN): -11.6%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Edwards	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	5	70%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Benoit	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Michael Cage	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Williams	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	8	57%	0.02	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Sherman Douglas	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	8	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	0.02	-0.01	12	47%	0.01	3	-0.08	12	92%	0.03
Sam Cassell	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	15	53%	0.02	6	-0.11	6	83%	0.00
Chris Gatling	-0.12	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.15	-0.02	-0.05	17	36%	-0.09	2	-0.03	8	62%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.01	-0.00	13	78%	0.19	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.05	5	58%	0.04	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	6	54%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	11	57%	0.04	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.01
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	5	60%	0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	10	54%	0.00	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.04
Joe Kleine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.01	-0.03	13	44%	-0.01	2	-0.04	8	62%	-0.01
Luc Longley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	0.00	-0.02	5	33%	-0.02	4	-0.07	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.3	25.4	16.4	28.5	2.4	32.2	133.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +36.3%

NJN -3.8%

CHI +10.8%

CHI +5.2%

CHI +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CHI	NBA	NJN	CHI	NBA
this game	17.3	14.2	15.6	94.5	107.6	102.5
season	15.6	16.2		104.9	105.8
opponent	15.8	15.2		97.9	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.0	20.1	16.0	16.9	17.3
CHI	14.6	11.7	15.3	15.2	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Cage	23	23	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.05	0	-13	13	18.2	16.9	1.28	15.8	13.7	2.07
Sherman Douglas	51	49	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-12	11	18.1	16.2	1.81	14.4	14.0	0.34
David Benoit	53	52	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.08	-6	-7	1	16.9	17.7	-0.77	14.5	13.9	0.54
Jayson Williams	60	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.10	-7	-6	-1	16.8	18.2	-1.36	13.6	15.5	-1.99
Kevin Edwards	49	49	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.06	-14	1	-15	17.5	17.0	0.49	12.8	15.8	-2.98
Sam Cassell	73	76	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.15	-10	-3	-7	16.8	19.3	-2.51	15.1	10.3	4.74
Chris Gatling	75	76	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.13	-11	-2	-9	17.4	16.5	0.93	14.7	12.1	2.62
Kendall Gill	71	74	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.01	-16	3	-19	17.2	17.5	-0.30	13.6	16.7	-3.03

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Kerr	58	58	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.08	13	0	13	14.4	13.9	0.55	18.1	15.7	2.41
Ron Harper	58	57	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.06	16	-3	19	15.0	12.9	2.04	19.0	14.4	4.60
Dennis Rodman	62	63	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.11	9	4	5	14.9	12.8	2.17	17.3	17.1	0.23
Scott Burrell	37	36	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	2	9	12.2	15.6	-3.32	17.6	17.0	0.62
Joe Kleine	41	37	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.09	5	8	-3	14.7	13.8	0.86	17.9	16.9	1.01
Toni Kukoc	48	49	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.01	8	5	3	15.7	12.6	3.14	18.3	16.0	2.26
Michael Jordan	64	64	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.04	6	7	-1	14.4	13.8	0.64	16.7	18.7	-1.99
Randy Brown	35	36	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.08	1	12	-11	15.5	13.5	2.03	16.9	17.5	-0.67
Luc Longley	24	26	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.02	4	9	-5	15.4	13.8	1.55	18.7	16.7	2.00
Jason Caffey	19	17	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.06	1	12	-11	8.7	15.7	-6.99	12.7	18.3	-5.60
Jud Buechler	8	7	-0.10	0.59	-0.69	0.08	-6	19	-25	6.5	15.0	-8.46	4.4	18.3	-13.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 89, NOH 100	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.84,0.8,0.74,0.75,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.98,0.96,0.98,1,1	96.1%
PHI 87, BOS 120	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.68,0.63,0.61,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
DET 84, CLE 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%