NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	97		Excitement	4.2 [966]		MVP	Raja Bell (UTA): +11.6%
Utah Jazz	106		Comeback	1.2 [1060]		LVP	Glenn Robinson (PHI): -16.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Snow	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.01	11	71%	0.11	2	-0.05	9	67%	-0.01
John Salmons	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	4	92%	0.10	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Kenny Thomas	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	6	65%	0.06	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	7	57%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amal McCaskill	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	10	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	10	43%	-0.04	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17	-0.16	-0.03	-0.02	19	48%	-0.05	6	-0.11	14	79%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.02	-0.01	9	80%	0.12	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	12	68%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.01	12	73%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	10	68%	0.09	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Raul Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	-0.05	10	59%	0.08	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	80%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Handlogten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	1	62%	0.00	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	8	28%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.8	29.1	15.7	23.0	1.8	35.0	129.4
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +37.5%

PHI -0.3%

UTA +0.6%

UTA +11.2%

UTA +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	UTA	NBA	PHI	UTA	NBA
this game	17.0	18.1	15.7	118.3	129.3	100.5
season	16.2	17.2		96.7	99.4
opponent	15.2	15.8		100.8	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	20.2	17.4	17.9	13.3	17.0
UTA	18.8	15.4	19.1	19.5	18.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amal McCaskill	10	9	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.03	0	-9	9	16.6	17.1	-0.47	13.8	18.6	-4.87
Derrick Coleman	30	30	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.03	-5	-4	-1	17.6	16.7	0.98	19.5	17.3	2.19
John Salmons	46	46	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.15	-3	-6	3	17.2	16.8	0.32	16.9	19.6	-2.68
Kenny Thomas	51	50	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.27	1	-10	11	16.0	18.7	-2.78	19.6	15.8	3.72
Kyle Korver	44	43	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.16	-4	-5	1	16.5	17.6	-1.11	16.3	20.1	-3.85
Greg Buckner	55	57	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.18	-5	-4	-1	17.6	15.9	1.67	19.5	14.8	4.70
Eric Snow	70	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.19	-6	-3	-3	17.3	15.3	1.97	18.2	17.4	0.81
Samuel Dalembert	39	40	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.06	-12	3	-15	17.9	16.2	1.64	16.3	19.8	-3.44
Glenn Robinson	65	65	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	2	-13	16.6	18.7	-2.14	18.7	15.9	2.81

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Harpring	71	71	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.19	10	-1	11	18.6	14.9	3.70	16.4	21.2	-4.82
Andrei Kirilenko	65	64	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.18	8	1	7	18.4	17.1	1.25	17.2	16.3	0.87
Raul Lopez	44	44	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.15	6	3	3	17.4	18.9	-1.51	15.3	19.0	-3.66
Raja Bell	44	44	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.15	6	3	3	17.4	18.9	-1.51	15.3	19.0	-3.66
Jarron Collins	39	40	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.04	8	1	7	18.6	17.7	0.87	16.3	17.7	-1.39
Ben Handlogten	43	42	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.19	1	8	-7	17.7	18.6	-0.87	17.7	16.3	1.39
DeShawn Stevenson	40	39	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	4	1	18.5	17.7	0.81	18.9	15.3	3.64
Carlos Arroyo	38	38	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	6	-3	18.9	17.4	1.51	19.0	15.3	3.66
Sasha Pavlovic	26	28	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.11	-2	11	-13	16.7	18.8	-2.13	18.2	16.4	1.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 93, ORL 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	96.1%
DET 84, CLE 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
MEM 84, GSW 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.44,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.92,0.94,0.88,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%