NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	93		Excitement	4.5 [944]		MVP	Grant Hill (ORL): +13.9%
Orlando Magic	108		Comeback	1.1 [1186]		LVP	T.J. Ford (MIL): -11.2%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toni Kukoc	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.02	5	80%	0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.00	0.03	8	78%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Bobby Simmons	0.00	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	59%	0.05	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Jiri Welsch	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine Jackson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reece Gaines	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	-0.00	1	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Michael Redd	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	16	41%	0.01	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.02
Andrew Bogut	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mo Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	11	42%	-0.01	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
T.J. Ford	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	19	41%	-0.04	4	-0.07	8	75%	-0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Hill	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.04	0.02	15	67%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.02	-0.02	10	56%	0.08	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	14	62%	0.13	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.00	8	67%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.01	15	56%	0.07	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.05	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	0.03	9	55%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Mario Kasun	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	2.4	28.6	16.4	26.5	2.7	28.3	132.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +34.8%

ORL +5.1%

ORL +0.8%

ORL +4.6%

ORL +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	ORL	NBA	MIL	ORL	NBA
this game	14.7	16.6	15.6	102.2	116.1	104.4
season	15.5	16.4		104.6	104.4
opponent	15.7	15.5		105.9	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.9	15.1	13.8	14.8	14.7
ORL	14.5	16.2	19.9	16.5	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Toni Kukoc	42	42	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.10	4	-19	23	14.8	14.5	0.28	17.0	16.3	0.77
Jermaine Jackson	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-13	11	12.3	14.7	-2.41	16.7	16.6	0.04
Reece Gaines	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-15	15	9.0	14.8	-5.79	16.7	16.6	0.04
Jiri Welsch	16	17	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.07	-3	-12	9	13.2	15.0	-1.79	16.5	16.6	-0.12
Dan Gadzuric	17	19	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.09	-5	-10	5	12.8	15.1	-2.26	15.9	16.8	-0.85
Mo Williams	51	52	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.07	-7	-8	1	14.4	15.0	-0.61	15.7	17.8	-2.03
Michael Redd	76	78	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.14	-7	-8	1	15.1	12.3	2.79	16.8	15.5	1.30
Andrew Bogut	45	46	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	-4	-7	15.2	14.1	1.16	16.7	16.5	0.23
Jamaal Magloire	59	58	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.06	-12	-3	-9	15.1	13.8	1.31	17.1	15.9	1.14
T.J. Ford	76	78	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.13	-12	-3	-9	14.8	13.7	1.11	16.7	16.5	0.19
Bobby Simmons	68	69	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	0.00	-20	5	-25	14.3	15.6	-1.27	16.5	16.9	-0.34

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Howard	73	72	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.00	20	-5	25	16.7	16.5	0.16	15.2	12.4	2.83
Steve Francis	85	84	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.05	20	-5	25	16.9	13.9	3.01	14.4	17.6	-3.15
Hedo Turkoglu	62	59	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.01	13	2	11	16.0	17.9	-1.97	14.9	14.2	0.78
Grant Hill	73	71	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.05	10	5	5	16.4	17.4	-1.05	14.8	14.0	0.78
DeShawn Stevenson	59	58	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.14	5	10	-5	16.6	16.7	-0.08	14.9	14.2	0.70
Jameer Nelson	52	49	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.08	7	8	-1	16.3	17.0	-0.76	14.7	14.6	0.07
Kelvin Cato	12	12	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.08	8	7	1	12.5	17.2	-4.73	11.6	15.1	-3.54
Pat Garrity	12	12	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.02	1	14	-13	16.4	16.7	-0.24	14.1	14.7	-0.66
Mario Kasun	13	12	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	15	-15	18.1	16.4	1.69	11.5	15.1	-3.64
Tony Battie	24	26	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.16	-9	24	-33	20.2	15.4	4.78	15.2	14.4	0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 97, UTA 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	96.1%
PHX 86, LAL 118	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.98,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
NJN 86, CHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%