NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	89		Excitement	5.6 [424]		MVP	Olden Polynice (SEA): +5.8%
Seattle SuperSonics	92		Comeback	1.0 [415]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -16.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sean Rooks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Corie Blount	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	0.01	0.03	14	52%	-0.00	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Rick Fox	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Elden Campbell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	3	50%	-0.02	3	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Derek Harper	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	8	44%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	6	23%	-0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	24	47%	-0.04	4	-0.11	9	56%	-0.04
Kobe Bryant	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.17	-0.07	-0.05	0.05	20	50%	-0.06	4	-0.10	6	100%	0.02

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Olden Polynice	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	9	62%	0.06	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.03	-0.04	9	50%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	62%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gary Payton	0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.10	0.04	-0.05	22	48%	0.07	4	-0.08	10	60%	-0.01
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	18	49%	0.02	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	13	48%	0.02	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	64.6	1.8	26.1	16.7	29.5	1.0	38.7	178.3
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +39.8%

SEA +1.6%

SEA +3.4%

SEA +6.7%

LAL -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SEA	NBA	LAL	SEA	NBA
this game	15.5	15.8	15.8	96.7	100.0	99.6
season	14.9	15.4		104.7	102.4
opponent	15.9	15.8		103.5	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.5	16.0	15.1	16.3	15.5
SEA	14.3	16.0	16.2	17.1	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corie Blount	23	24	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.17	7	-10	17	13.9	16.0	-2.12	19.4	14.6	4.77
Derek Fisher	32	33	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.17	5	-8	13	14.7	15.9	-1.18	17.2	15.1	2.08
Rick Fox	32	33	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.17	5	-8	13	14.7	15.9	-1.18	17.2	15.1	2.08
Sean Rooks	8	8	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-3	3	19.7	15.0	4.70	10.4	16.4	-5.99
Elden Campbell	26	26	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.11	-5	2	-7	17.0	14.8	2.15	17.7	15.1	2.62
Travis Knight	50	50	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.17	-3	0	-3	14.9	16.1	-1.26	15.0	16.9	-1.94
Eddie Jones	73	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.39	-2	-1	-1	15.4	15.8	-0.49	15.7	16.4	-0.74
Derek Harper	60	59	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.24	-8	5	-13	15.9	14.7	1.18	15.1	17.2	-2.08
Shaquille O'Neal	77	76	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	2	-7	15.3	16.1	-0.73	15.2	18.7	-3.44
Kobe Bryant	79	77	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.27	-9	6	-15	15.9	13.0	2.86	15.4	18.1	-2.65

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton	84	84	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.35	5	-2	7	15.1	23.2	-8.11	15.4	15.7	-0.32
Vin Baker	71	72	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.25	7	-4	11	15.1	18.3	-3.16	15.4	15.6	-0.18
Detlef Schrempf	75	75	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.27	6	-3	9	16.2	14.5	1.69	14.9	17.9	-2.98
Olden Polynice	73	74	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.22	7	-4	11	16.0	15.2	0.80	15.6	14.8	0.77
Hersey Hawkins	59	59	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.45	-5	8	-13	15.5	16.5	-0.95	16.1	14.4	1.66
Rashard Lewis	28	27	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.06	10	-7	17	15.6	15.9	-0.29	14.8	15.7	-0.91
Dale Ellis	38	38	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.34	-7	10	-17	15.6	16.0	-0.37	16.7	14.6	2.09
Moochie Norris	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.06	-2	5	-7	23.2	15.1	8.11	15.7	15.4	0.32
Aaron Williams	24	23	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.17	-6	9	-15	17.9	15.1	2.80	14.1	15.9	-1.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.87,0.91,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 82, LAC 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.2%
LAL 94, LAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.56,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.88,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.86,0.79,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.9%
LAL 98, DAL 102	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.85,0.86,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.96,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%