NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	94		Excitement	5.5 [577]		MVP	Chris Paul (LAC): +29.1%
Los Angeles Clippers	102		Comeback	1.0 [739]		LVP	Matt Barnes (LAL): -9.0%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.16	0.03	0.04	28	60%	0.24	2	-0.08	14	86%	0.03
Darius Morris	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	3	87%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Pau Gasol	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	17	41%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.01	0.02	5	58%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Josh McRoberts	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	13	41%	-0.03	2	-0.05	3	0%	-0.04
Matt Barnes	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	0.03	6	37%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.18	0.11	-0.01	22	66%	0.31	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	12	68%	0.13	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.04	0.10	-0.02	11	36%	0.08	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	3	57%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Reggie Evans	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	18	51%	0.04	3	-0.07	7	57%	-0.02
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	14	41%	0.01	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	2.0	34.7	15.8	33.3	2.5	33.4	149.7
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +12.8%

LAC +8.1%

LAC +7.1%

LAC +12.0%

LAC +9.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	LAC	NBA	LAL	LAC	NBA
this game	15.6	16.9	15.6	106.8	114.6	102.8
season	16.2	16.2		103.8	106.0
opponent	15.7	15.1		104.5	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.1	16.5	15.9	16.0	15.6
LAC	16.5	16.2	16.1	19.0	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kapono	16	16	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-7	6	17.6	15.2	2.38	17.5	16.8	0.71
Troy Murphy	1	1	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-6	4	13.0	15.6	-2.64	19.0	16.9	2.10
Metta World Peace	34	34	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.14	2	-10	12	15.5	15.7	-0.14	17.8	16.4	1.36
Josh McRoberts	28	29	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.17	1	-9	10	14.4	16.2	-1.74	17.6	16.6	0.99
Darius Morris	43	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.04	-6	-2	-4	16.6	14.7	1.85	17.3	16.6	0.64
Andrew Bynum	72	72	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.27	1	-9	10	15.7	15.4	0.22	17.0	16.4	0.63
Derek Fisher	45	48	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.20	-3	-5	2	14.7	16.6	-1.85	16.3	17.6	-1.32
Matt Barnes	47	48	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.11	-8	0	-8	15.1	16.2	-1.09	15.6	18.5	-2.86
Kobe Bryant	82	83	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.26	-9	1	-10	15.6	16.3	-0.77	16.7	20.2	-3.48
Pau Gasol	72	72	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.15	-15	7	-22	16.1	13.6	2.51	17.3	15.2	2.16

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Blake Griffin	84	82	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.27	10	-2	12	17.0	14.8	2.25	15.4	19.2	-3.81
Chris Paul	73	72	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.08	15	-7	22	17.0	16.4	0.59	15.8	14.9	0.83
Reggie Evans	29	29	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.09	13	-5	18	17.9	16.5	1.40	16.1	15.4	0.78
Caron Butler	58	59	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.08	7	1	6	17.3	16.3	1.02	15.1	16.7	-1.55
Chauncey Billups	60	60	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.16	4	4	0	17.1	16.6	0.45	15.8	15.2	0.53
Ryan Gomes	32	29	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.16	2	6	-4	15.8	17.5	-1.73	16.7	15.1	1.55
Randy Foye	45	44	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.28	-3	11	-14	16.6	17.3	-0.74	15.1	16.1	-0.95
DeAndre Jordan	52	53	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.17	-3	11	-14	16.8	17.1	-0.27	15.6	15.7	-0.07
Brian Cook	12	12	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.04	-5	13	-18	15.5	17.1	-1.64	16.2	15.5	0.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.56,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.88,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.86,0.79,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 89, SEA 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.87,0.91,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1	94.9%
IND 72, UTA 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.79,0.87,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.8,0.72,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.92,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
CLE 107, PHI 116	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.73,0.66,0.64,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.83,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.94,1,1	94.5%