NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	98		Excitement	5.6 [684]		MVP	Charlie Villanueva (DAL): +21.6%
Dallas Mavericks	102		Comeback	1.0 [1262]		LVP	Wesley Johnson (LAL): -19.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	16	55%	0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jordan Clarkson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Ronnie Price	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	9	39%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Robert Sacre	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	45%	-0.01	1	-0.03	10	80%	-0.01
Nick Young	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.15,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0.02	16	47%	0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.00	-0.01	0.06	10	55%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lin	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	8	31%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	13	46%	0.00	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.07	-0.04	0.09	14	33%	-0.17	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.03

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.10	0.11	-0.01	9	72%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	9	67%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	17	58%	0.12	4	-0.09	2	0%	-0.03
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	13	47%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	12	52%	0.07	2	-0.05	5	60%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	7	71%	0.07	4	-0.07	7	71%	-0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	8	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	1.8	28.2	17.4	25.0	1.8	34.2	131.3
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +68.9%

LAL -7.7%

LAL -23.4%

DAL +9.4%

DAL +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DAL	NBA	LAL	DAL	NBA
this game	15.3	13.7	15.1	99.0	103.0	104.2
season	15.5	14.6		101.9	107.6
opponent	15.0	14.7		105.0	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.2	17.4	15.5	12.7	15.3
DAL	12.6	13.9	13.9	14.5	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Boozer	42	43	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.14	7	-11	18	16.3	14.6	1.72	14.4	13.2	1.19
Robert Sacre	30	30	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-5	6	16.4	14.9	1.52	14.5	13.4	1.08
Jordan Clarkson	29	29	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.09	0	-4	4	16.2	15.0	1.17	13.6	13.8	-0.23
Jeremy Lin	43	42	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-1	-2	16.0	14.8	1.16	14.2	13.4	0.73
Nick Young	59	60	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.39	7	-11	18	14.9	16.0	-1.10	14.0	13.4	0.64
Ronnie Price	56	57	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	-3	2	14.8	16.0	-1.16	13.4	14.2	-0.73
Wesley Johnson	62	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.31	-1	-3	2	14.6	16.5	-1.87	13.6	14.1	-0.50
Wayne Ellington	57	57	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	0	-4	15.0	15.9	-0.89	13.6	13.9	-0.31
Ed Davis	60	60	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.06	-15	11	-26	15.9	14.4	1.50	13.5	14.1	-0.59
Jordan Hill	57	56	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.24	-11	7	-18	14.6	16.3	-1.72	13.2	14.4	-1.19

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Monta Ellis	71	71	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.35	5	-1	6	13.5	14.5	-1.05	15.0	16.1	-1.06
Tyson Chandler	63	66	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.18	11	-7	18	13.1	14.9	-1.75	15.8	14.4	1.38
Chandler Parsons	69	69	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.34	5	-1	6	13.3	14.7	-1.32	14.9	16.4	-1.47
Rajon Rondo	72	74	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.22	7	-3	10	13.7	13.8	-0.09	15.2	15.8	-0.56
Dirk Nowitzki	52	52	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.02	10	-6	16	13.7	13.8	-0.08	15.1	15.7	-0.60
Charlie Villanueva	39	38	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.19	1	3	-2	14.2	13.4	0.80	17.5	14.0	3.50
Devin Harris	30	28	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.13	0	4	-4	14.0	13.6	0.36	15.9	15.1	0.72
Richard Jefferson	38	39	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.25	-8	12	-20	14.0	13.6	0.45	14.4	15.9	-1.54
Greg Smith	36	33	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	11	-18	14.9	13.1	1.75	14.4	15.8	-1.38
Jose Juan Barea	25	25	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.06	-4	8	-12	14.4	13.5	0.82	16.0	15.1	0.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.85,0.86,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.96,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 82, LAC 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.6%
DEN 101, SEA 111	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.87,0.93,0.95,1,1,1	95.0%
LAL 89, SEA 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.87,0.91,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1	94.9%