NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	82		Excitement	4.7 [709]		MVP	Eric Bledsoe (LAC): +12.1%
Los Angeles Clippers	96		Comeback	1.0 [924]		LVP	Jeff Teague (ATL): -11.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zaza Pachulia	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	8	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jannero Pargo	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.04	5	80%	0.11	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.02	15	56%	0.07	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Josh Smith	0.03	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.03	0.02	14	56%	0.10	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Erick Dampier	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	6	64%	0.08	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	5	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Teague	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.02	0.04	11	36%	-0.11	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.03	0.01	8	74%	0.14	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.05	0.02	18	62%	0.19	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	9	62%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.01	0.04	9	72%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	4	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	83%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	4	67%	0.06	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	9	55%	0.07	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.01
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	5	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.3	28.6	16.4	22.6	2.7	32.0	128.5
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +41.7%

ATL -0.4%

LAC +0.6%

LAC +8.4%

ATL -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	LAC	NBA	ATL	LAC	NBA
this game	17.6	16.9	15.6	98.8	114.3	102.8
season	15.7	16.2		102.5	106.0
opponent	15.7	15.9		104.5	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	18.9	19.8	17.7	14.4	17.6
LAC	18.1	16.2	15.7	17.6	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Dampier	13	12	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.02	3	-17	20	16.9	17.7	-0.79	21.7	16.1	5.56
Jannero Pargo	29	29	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.06	-8	-6	-2	13.3	19.9	-6.63	17.5	16.6	0.94
Josh Smith	58	60	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-14	14	17.4	18.1	-0.76	16.5	18.0	-1.53
Jerry Stackhouse	25	24	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.09	-13	-1	-12	15.4	18.5	-3.13	16.8	16.9	-0.10
Tracy McGrady	44	44	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	-9	-5	-4	17.4	17.8	-0.43	16.3	17.6	-1.28
Jeff Teague	61	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.07	-9	-5	-4	18.7	14.6	4.02	17.4	15.3	2.16
Kirk Hinrich	60	60	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.03	-12	-2	-10	18.0	16.5	1.54	16.8	17.2	-0.37
Zaza Pachulia	60	61	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.12	-11	-3	-8	18.8	14.5	4.24	16.0	19.3	-3.36
Joe Johnson	65	67	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.14	-11	-3	-8	18.4	14.8	3.52	17.0	16.4	0.62

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	53	52	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.05	16	-2	18	17.5	16.0	1.49	18.5	16.1	2.38
Blake Griffin	56	56	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.04	15	-1	16	17.6	15.5	2.16	17.9	17.0	0.93
Caron Butler	43	42	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	3	8	16.2	17.6	-1.42	20.0	15.1	4.88
Randy Foye	32	30	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.01	10	4	6	17.2	16.7	0.46	19.2	16.7	2.47
DeAndre Jordan	38	35	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.06	8	6	2	15.9	17.8	-1.89	20.1	15.7	4.41
Mo Williams	55	55	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.05	5	9	-4	17.4	16.0	1.38	16.4	20.0	-3.64
Reggie Evans	37	38	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.11	2	12	-10	16.6	17.2	-0.60	16.8	18.3	-1.53
Kenyon Martin	37	37	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.06	3	11	-8	17.2	16.7	0.56	15.6	19.2	-3.65
Bobby Simmons	38	39	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	12	-10	16.8	17.0	-0.26	15.5	19.4	-3.92
Eric Bledsoe	31	31	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.14	-2	16	-18	16.0	17.5	-1.49	16.1	18.5	-2.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 102, MIN 120	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
LAL 98, DAL 102	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.85,0.86,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.96,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
CHI 96, ATL 112	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.87,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%