NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	93		Excitement	6.7 [474]		MVP	Mike Dunleavy (IND): +11.7%
Indiana Pacers	98		Comeback	1.2 [850]		LVP	Jarrett Jack (IND): -14.2%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeSagana Diop	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	5	80%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.01	-0.00	14	60%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Juwan Howard	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Adam Morrison	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03	0.01	-0.05	-0.02	19	45%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Raymond Felton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.07	0.03	-0.01	11	39%	0.02	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Sean Singletary	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Shannon Brown	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	3	62%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03
Gerald Wallace	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	8	42%	-0.03	2	-0.03	8	100%	0.05
Emeka Okafor	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	9	48%	-0.02	2	-0.07	11	36%	-0.09

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.00	9	59%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Danny Granger	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.07	-0.01	25	50%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Stephen Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.01	0.00	5	90%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	0.00	8	52%	0.10	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Maceo Baston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	11	46%	0.05	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	11	50%	0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	8	39%	-0.03	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.5	29.4	15.5	28.5	2.5	36.6	139.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +2.0%

IND +27.0%

IND +20.4%

CHA -5.7%

IND +6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	IND	NBA	CHA	IND	NBA
this game	16.8	14.5	15.5	101.1	106.5	106.4
season	16.5	14.1		103.0	106.5
opponent	15.3	15.6		107.7	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.6	17.5	17.3	16.7	16.8
IND	15.7	13.8	14.0	14.6	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raymond Felton	71	70	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.34	9	-14	23	16.3	18.4	-2.10	14.8	13.6	1.19
Adam Morrison	14	15	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.01	-4	-1	-3	17.9	16.6	1.33	12.0	15.0	-2.99
Emeka Okafor	60	62	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.33	6	-11	17	16.4	17.5	-1.11	15.0	13.4	1.63
Raja Bell	70	71	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.30	2	-7	9	16.8	16.9	-0.14	15.1	12.3	2.81
Boris Diaw	72	72	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.37	4	-9	13	16.7	17.2	-0.57	15.2	11.9	3.32
Shannon Brown	22	21	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	2	-9	16.9	16.8	0.14	12.3	15.1	-2.81
Juwan Howard	30	30	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.07	-8	3	-11	17.1	16.6	0.49	12.9	15.3	-2.37
Gerald Wallace	67	67	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	-3	1	16.8	16.9	-0.10	15.0	13.2	1.84
DeSagana Diop	32	30	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	6	-17	17.5	16.4	1.11	13.4	15.0	-1.63
Sean Singletary	22	22	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.03	-14	9	-23	17.7	16.5	1.15	13.6	14.8	-1.19

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	59	58	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.15	11	-6	17	14.7	14.2	0.45	17.1	16.3	0.81
Troy Murphy	74	75	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.34	4	1	3	14.7	13.6	1.11	16.5	18.4	-1.90
Danny Granger	73	73	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.31	4	1	3	14.7	13.8	0.90	16.7	17.3	-0.64
T.J. Ford	51	51	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.39	-3	8	-11	14.5	14.5	0.02	16.9	16.7	0.22
Mike Dunleavy	45	45	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.30	-1	6	-7	14.6	14.4	0.15	16.3	17.3	-0.97
Stephen Graham	23	22	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.00	7	-2	9	13.3	14.9	-1.65	18.0	16.4	1.57
Marquis Daniels	40	41	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	2	1	14.2	14.7	-0.58	16.4	17.2	-0.79
Maceo Baston	19	20	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.09	2	3	-1	12.8	14.9	-2.16	16.6	16.8	-0.20
Jarrett Jack	45	45	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.03	5	0	5	14.7	14.3	0.41	17.0	16.6	0.43
Rasho Nesterovic	31	30	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.11	-7	12	-19	15.2	14.1	1.05	17.5	16.5	1.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.68,0.78,0.78,0.9,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.93,0.98,0.85,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 92, SAS 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.73,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,1	94.7%
BKN 101, LAL 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.89,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.84,0.91,1	93.5%
PHX 102, LAC 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.78,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.94,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.3%