NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	102		Excitement	5.3 [758]		MVP	Jeff McInnis (LAC): +6.7%
Los Angeles Clippers	111		Comeback	1.2 [771]		LVP	Jake Voskuhl (PHX): -10.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anfernee Hardaway	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.01	-0.00	22	62%	0.11	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Tony Delk	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	11	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	0.00	0.07	14	69%	0.07	3	-0.07	8	100%	0.02
John Wallace	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	80%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Rodney Rogers	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	9	45%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Marion	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	11	27%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alton Ford	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	8	44%	-0.00	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	11	68%	0.13	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	19	58%	0.09	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.00	8	76%	0.10	3	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	9	68%	0.10	4	-0.07	7	86%	0.01
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.01	0.03	8	71%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	7	61%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	-0.03	-0.06	7	45%	0.00	4	-0.08	6	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.0	26.2	15.7	26.0	2.0	36.2	134.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +35.5%

LAC +7.9%

PHX -2.5%

LAC +1.6%

LAC +7.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	LAC	NBA	PHX	LAC	NBA
this game	14.3	14.9	15.6	103.0	113.3	102.3
season	15.1	15.9		101.0	103.6
opponent	15.4	15.8		104.1	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.7	15.5	14.2	13.0	14.3
LAC	15.3	12.2	17.9	14.7	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vinny Del Negro	1	2	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-7	5	4.0	14.4	-10.45	2.0	15.2	-13.17
Alton Ford	8	8	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	-7	5	12.5	14.5	-2.01	14.1	15.0	-0.84
John Wallace	10	11	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-8	7	14.7	14.3	0.40	10.4	15.5	-5.11
Jake Voskuhl	37	37	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.01	-5	-4	-1	14.3	14.4	-0.12	16.1	14.2	1.90
Jake Tsakalidis	33	31	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.11	-2	-7	5	16.2	13.4	2.76	14.5	15.1	-0.56
Shawn Marion	56	55	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.13	-3	-6	3	14.3	14.4	-0.05	15.2	14.5	0.73
Rodney Rogers	41	40	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.05	-6	-3	-3	14.9	14.0	0.91	14.8	15.0	-0.21
Tom Gugliotta	69	69	-0.35	-0.14	-0.21	-0.21	-5	-4	-1	13.9	15.4	-1.47	15.0	14.6	0.44
Tony Delk	59	58	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.12	-9	0	-9	14.2	14.6	-0.47	14.6	15.3	-0.72
Stephon Marbury	88	88	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.27	-4	-5	1	14.4	14.3	0.08	15.0	14.0	1.00
Anfernee Hardaway	93	91	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.27	-6	-3	-3	14.2	17.0	-2.83	15.3	9.7	5.58

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Richardson	65	66	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.19	12	-3	15	14.0	16.6	-2.58	14.0	15.0	-0.94
Elton Brand	88	89	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.22	9	0	9	15.0	14.1	0.89	14.1	16.8	-2.73
Jeff McInnis	83	83	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.21	5	4	1	15.4	12.1	3.34	14.2	15.0	-0.78
Darius Miles	54	56	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.17	4	5	-1	14.2	15.7	-1.55	14.1	14.6	-0.46
Eric Piatkowski	70	71	0.28	0.23	0.05	0.13	5	4	1	14.2	16.5	-2.29	14.2	14.7	-0.52
Michael Olowokandi	52	52	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.12	3	6	-3	16.0	13.7	2.27	15.2	13.4	1.87
Corey Maggette	61	61	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.16	1	8	-7	16.6	12.1	4.44	14.9	13.5	1.33
Keyon Dooling	17	17	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.00	6	3	3	10.9	15.7	-4.86	14.4	14.3	0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.78,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.94,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 98, DAL 107	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	95.1%
UTA 111, OKC 119	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.83,0.81,0.74,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.89,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1	94.8%
CLE 70, CHI 79	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.86,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.77,0.78,0.91,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.7%