NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	98		Excitement	4.7 [843]		MVP	Erick Strickland (DAL): +26.6%
Dallas Mavericks	107		Comeback	1.2 [126]		LVP	Gary Payton (SEA): -15.0%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Anthony	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.02	-0.02	18	55%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Sam Perkins	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wingate	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Dale Ellis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	56%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jerome Kersey	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.02	13	51%	-0.04	0	0.00	11	45%	-0.06
Hersey Hawkins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	5	62%	0.04	4	-0.10	6	100%	0.02
Gary Payton	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15	-0.07	-0.03	0.05	19	53%	-0.01	6	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.27	0.27	0.21	0.07	0.01	17	77%	0.27	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Khalid Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.02	10	64%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.01	23	57%	0.11	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	5	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.01	8	59%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	3	67%	-0.00	1	-0.03	6	33%	-0.05
A.C. Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	0.01	-0.05	6	19%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.6	24.1	16.8	23.3	2.6	39.3	132.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +39.3%

SEA -3.0%

DAL +4.9%

DAL +10.4%

SEA -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	DAL	NBA	SEA	DAL	NBA
this game	14.9	17.5	15.6	108.9	121.6	102.5
season	15.3	15.8		109.3	98.3
opponent	15.5	16.2		104.6	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	14.6	17.4	13.0	14.7	14.9
DAL	17.5	14.7	19.7	18.1	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Anthony	22	20	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-11	13	12.8	15.6	-2.78	17.5	17.4	0.11
Dale Ellis	51	48	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.29	8	-17	25	14.5	15.4	-0.86	18.1	16.7	1.31
Sam Perkins	31	29	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-7	5	15.6	14.6	1.05	17.6	17.4	0.13
Jerome Kersey	13	14	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.06	-6	-3	-3	14.2	15.0	-0.81	15.2	17.9	-2.68
Jim McIlvaine	22	23	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.02	-8	-1	-7	14.6	15.0	-0.44	17.4	17.5	-0.10
David Wingate	20	17	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.11	-14	5	-19	16.9	14.3	2.61	14.7	18.1	-3.42
Vin Baker	71	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.26	-5	-4	-1	14.9	15.1	-0.23	18.0	15.2	2.82
Detlef Schrempf	71	71	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.27	-5	-4	-1	14.8	15.2	-0.37	17.7	16.4	1.31
Hersey Hawkins	70	71	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.26	-6	-3	-3	14.9	15.0	-0.16	17.2	18.4	-1.17
Gary Payton	79	77	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.24	-9	0	-9	15.3	12.1	3.23	17.5	17.0	0.53

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Strickland	73	73	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.15	15	-6	21	17.1	19.3	-2.25	14.8	15.5	-0.68
Michael Finley	88	90	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.24	9	0	9	17.5	0.0	17.47	14.9	0.0	14.92
Dennis Scott	41	44	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.01	13	-4	17	15.7	19.0	-3.25	15.8	14.1	1.71
Khalid Reeves	43	44	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.05	8	1	7	15.3	19.6	-4.28	15.9	14.0	1.98
A.C. Green	36	38	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.30	-4	13	-17	20.1	15.6	4.48	14.1	15.5	-1.41
Hubert Davis	62	66	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.19	-1	10	-11	18.1	16.0	2.03	13.8	17.9	-4.03
Samaki Walker	37	37	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.19	-2	11	-13	19.3	16.1	3.21	14.9	14.9	-0.05
Shawn Bradley	37	36	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	12	-15	19.0	16.4	2.65	14.2	15.4	-1.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 80, MEM 85	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.8,0.73,0.76,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	95.3%
PHX 102, LAC 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.78,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.94,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1	95.1%
UTA 104, BOS 115	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.7,0.64,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.8,0.79,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.84,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.7%