inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 80 Excitement4.8 [695] MVPDante Cunningham (MEM): +8.6%
Memphis Grizzlies 85 Comeback1.1 [954] LVPMike Conley (MEM): -14.1%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jose Juan Barea0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.06-0.010.03965%0.042-0.02875%0.00
Anthony Randolph-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.010.020.000.02750%-0.0100.002100%0.00
Wesley Johnson-0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.01650%0.011-0.02250%-0.01
Anthony Tolliver-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00250%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Nikola Pekovic-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.020.01856%-0.001-0.0220%-0.04
Derrick Williams-0.020,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.02-0.011348%0.042-0.061100%0.00
Brad Miller-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.00233%-0.001-0.022100%0.01
Wayne Ellington-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.01425%-0.031-0.0100%0.00
Martell Webster-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Michael Beasley-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.060.02-0.010.061159%-0.012-0.0500%0.00
Luke Ridnour-0.100,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.09-0.02-0.01812%-0.1000.0000%0.00
Ricky Rubio-0.130,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.12-0.04-0.03629%-0.044-0.092100%0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dante Cunningham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.040.02-0.021152%0.0900.0010%-0.02
Quincy Pondexter0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.03-0.01-0.011457%0.052-0.032100%0.01
Rudy Gay0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.03-0.01-0.032145%0.042-0.0500%0.00
Hamed Haddadi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
O.J. Mayo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.06,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.090.02-0.031137%0.013-0.05560%-0.00
Jeremy Pargo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.00750%0.033-0.0700%0.00
Marc Gasol0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.06-0.01-0.021339%0.002-0.05580%-0.02
Marreese Speights0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.070.00-0.02930%-0.031-0.022100%0.01
Mike Conley0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.13-0.03-0.02812%-0.092-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game20.82.326.215.722.42.330.4120.1
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +20.6%
MEM +3.0%
MEM +23.1%
MEM +1.2%
MEM +2.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINMEMNBAMINMEMNBA
this game15.015.015.682.589.5102.8
season15.315.6102.6102.0
opponent15.715.1100.1104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIN16.516.415.212.015.0
MEM14.812.914.817.315.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brad Miller1616-0.06-0.440.38-0.03-1-4316.114.81.3112.515.5-2.97
Martell Webster1717-0.06-0.440.38-0.03-1-4315.514.90.5312.615.5-2.83
Anthony Randolph2425-0.08-0.420.34-0.297-121912.016.0-4.0317.314.13.14
Wayne Ellington2425-0.08-0.420.34-0.297-121912.016.0-4.0317.314.13.14
Anthony Tolliver3636-0.09-0.410.33-0.328-132113.615.9-2.3515.814.51.35
Jose Juan Barea4850-0.20-0.300.10-0.355-101513.516.5-2.9914.915.1-0.19
Michael Beasley5556-0.23-0.270.04-0.292-7914.216.1-1.8414.815.2-0.45
Wesley Johnson4643-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.04-83-1116.313.92.3815.414.60.78
Luke Ridnour4541-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.03-94-1316.313.92.4314.915.0-0.16
Ricky Rubio5653-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.04-116-1716.213.42.7614.615.4-0.78
Nikola Pekovic5754-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.04-116-1716.013.62.3514.615.4-0.79
Derrick Williams6159-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.03-138-2115.913.62.3514.515.8-1.35

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rudy Gay76790.59-0.090.670.2910-51514.815.5-0.6315.413.61.74
Marreese Speights52540.370.130.230.138-31115.614.21.4716.812.83.94
Mike Conley69700.360.140.210.2732115.114.50.5914.915.3-0.42
Marc Gasol57590.340.160.170.1950515.314.50.7414.715.6-0.86
Dante Cunningham55540.280.220.060.1932114.415.8-1.3914.216.1-1.87
Quincy Pondexter68700.280.220.060.31-16-715.613.52.0815.015.2-0.27
O.J. Mayo62610.170.33-0.160.32-510-1514.615.6-0.9314.116.5-2.38
Jeremy Pargo26270.140.36-0.210.0823-114.515.1-0.5915.314.90.42
Hamed Haddadi1011-0.020.52-0.54-0.0205-512.015.3-3.3215.415.00.38


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.8,0.73,0.76,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 84, BOS 1060.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.86,0.8,0.74,0.84,0.76,0.86,0.84,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.4%
LAC 104, OKC 1100.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.83,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.98,1,1,0.99,195.4%
SEA 98, DAL 1070.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,195.3%