NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	84		Excitement	4.5 [910]		MVP	Carl Landry (SAC): +8.6%
Boston Celtics	106		Comeback	1.0 [642]		LVP	Rudy Gay (SAC): -16.9%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.01	-0.02	11	64%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.01	5	86%	0.11	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Darren Collison	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	10	54%	0.06	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.03
Ryan Hollins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	3	67%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Derrick Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	5	20%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	6	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Ray McCallum	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	8	50%	-0.05	1	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Omri Casspi	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.02	0.02	3	25%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.14	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.17	-0.00	-0.04	17	31%	-0.08	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Rudy Gay	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.15	-0.04	-0.02	19	22%	-0.17	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Sullinger	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	18	53%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.02	0.03	10	68%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.02	8	69%	0.08	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	64%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.01	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	6	40%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Phil Pressey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.00	0.07	10	57%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	10	45%	0.04	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.02	-0.03	8	12%	-0.10	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.5	24.6	15.6	30.2	2.3	27.6	127.2
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +45.3%

BOS +1.6%

SAC -9.0%

BOS +10.3%

BOS +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	BOS	NBA	SAC	BOS	NBA
this game	14.9	13.4	15.1	82.4	105.0	104.2
season	14.9	14.3		103.7	103.1
opponent	15.4	14.8		103.3	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.7	15.4	15.8	13.8	14.9
BOS	13.0	14.0	12.4	14.4	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carl Landry	61	61	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.09	3	-25	28	15.2	14.5	0.78	13.3	13.6	-0.35
Derrick Williams	35	34	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.14	-8	-14	6	14.1	15.4	-1.33	13.9	13.2	0.67
Reggie Evans	24	24	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-17	12	15.2	14.8	0.36	13.2	13.5	-0.35
Ben McLemore	37	40	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.13	-9	-13	4	15.5	14.6	0.87	14.0	13.1	0.89
Nik Stauskas	50	47	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.02	-7	-15	8	14.5	15.4	-0.89	13.4	13.4	0.02
Omri Casspi	26	27	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.07	-9	-13	4	13.1	15.6	-2.44	14.2	13.1	1.07
Ray McCallum	49	47	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.19	-14	-8	-6	14.7	15.2	-0.54	13.1	13.7	-0.66
Ryan Hollins	25	25	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.25	-17	-5	-12	15.4	14.8	0.62	13.3	13.5	-0.15
DeMarcus Cousins	61	60	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.10	-16	-6	-10	15.9	13.5	2.37	13.3	13.6	-0.33
Darren Collison	68	68	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.04	-14	-8	-6	15.2	14.5	0.69	13.4	13.6	-0.25
Rudy Gay	74	72	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.05	-14	-8	-6	14.7	15.6	-0.88	13.3	13.8	-0.50

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Sullinger	59	59	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.09	16	6	10	13.2	13.8	-0.64	14.7	15.2	-0.48
Marcus Smart	58	58	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.16	16	6	10	13.9	12.7	1.20	15.1	14.7	0.48
Jeff Green	52	53	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.01	10	12	-2	12.8	14.1	-1.33	14.7	15.1	-0.41
Evan Turner	48	49	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.11	13	9	4	14.0	12.9	1.04	14.2	15.6	-1.48
Jameer Nelson	41	42	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.15	14	8	6	12.7	13.9	-1.18	16.3	14.0	2.34
Kelly Olynyk	54	54	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.22	15	7	8	13.1	13.9	-0.78	15.3	14.5	0.74
Jae Crowder	49	49	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.16	12	10	2	14.1	12.8	1.33	15.1	14.7	0.41
Tyler Zeller	36	37	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.02	6	16	-10	12.9	13.7	-0.81	16.4	14.1	2.36
Avery Bradley	49	50	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.04	4	18	-14	13.0	13.9	-0.93	14.7	15.2	-0.53
Brandan Wright	18	18	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.14	0	22	-22	15.6	13.0	2.58	12.2	15.5	-3.36
Brandon Bass	35	36	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.10	7	15	-8	13.9	13.2	0.69	14.6	15.1	-0.54
Phil Pressey	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	25	-28	12.8	13.5	-0.64	11.2	15.1	-3.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.86,0.8,0.74,0.84,0.76,0.86,0.84,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 80, MEM 85	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.8,0.73,0.76,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	95.4%
ORL 80, IND 94	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.83,0.86,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
DEN 79, DAL 97	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%