NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	104		Excitement	5.0 [858]		MVP	Paul George (OKC): +26.2%
Oklahoma City Thunder	110		Comeback	1.2 [1034]		LVP	Dennis Schroder (OKC): -10.9%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.12	0.00	0.05	14	76%	0.15	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Patrick Beverley	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	2	129%	0.10	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.08	-0.02	0.05	16	76%	0.16	7	-0.16	5	80%	-0.00
Marcin Gortat	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	5	36%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Sindarius Thornwell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.02	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03	0.04	0.00	0.07	14	60%	0.04	3	-0.07	7	57%	-0.01
Mike Scott	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Milos Teodosic	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	4	20%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Avery Bradley	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	9	56%	0.03	6	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.23	0.03	-0.00	19	72%	0.26	0	0.00	8	75%	0.01
Hamidou Diallo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	5	83%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.01	0.05	11	72%	0.09	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.02
Alex Abrines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	14	47%	0.02	1	-0.00	6	67%	0.02
Terrance Ferguson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.15	0.04	-0.08	17	35%	0.03	4	-0.07	3	67%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	14	29%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.3	31.5	0.2	28.4	2.5	32.3	122.7
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +8.8%

OKC +0.4%

OKC +0.6%

OKC +37.6%

OKC +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	OKC	NBA	LAC	OKC	NBA
this game	14.7	12.6	14.3	99.0	103.8	109.3
season	13.9	12.9		111.3	108.9
opponent	14.9	14.1		106.4	110.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.7	13.0	17.1	13.4	14.7
OKC	12.0	11.4	12.9	14.3	12.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sindarius Thornwell	13	13	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-4	2	13.7	14.9	-1.19	9.2	13.1	-3.90
Milos Teodosic	25	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-1	-4	13.3	15.2	-1.91	12.4	12.6	-0.18
Mike Scott	36	36	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-1	-4	14.3	14.9	-0.61	11.2	13.3	-2.13
Montrezl Harrell	57	59	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.31	6	-12	18	13.9	15.7	-1.80	12.7	12.4	0.23
Avery Bradley	73	73	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.40	4	-10	14	15.1	13.8	1.32	13.1	11.5	1.58
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	46	45	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	4	-14	15.7	14.0	1.64	12.3	12.8	-0.42
Patrick Beverley	66	69	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.30	-1	-5	4	14.2	15.6	-1.44	12.3	13.2	-0.90
Marcin Gortat	48	47	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	6	-18	15.7	13.9	1.80	12.4	12.7	-0.23
Danilo Gallinari	80	80	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.40	0	-6	6	14.8	14.4	0.39	13.4	10.2	3.21
Tobias Harris	81	83	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.29	-5	-1	-4	15.0	13.9	1.11	13.0	11.2	1.79

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul George	80	79	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.18	15	-9	24	12.3	13.5	-1.28	15.3	13.0	2.35
Jerami Grant	73	74	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.37	0	6	-6	13.0	11.7	1.32	15.1	13.8	1.27
Russell Westbrook	76	78	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.32	0	6	-6	13.3	10.8	2.48	14.6	15.1	-0.51
Alex Abrines	49	46	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.06	8	-2	10	11.1	13.8	-2.70	14.3	15.1	-0.84
Steven Adams	68	69	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.36	-3	9	-12	13.3	11.3	1.92	14.6	14.9	-0.32
Terrance Ferguson	33	33	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.04	9	-3	12	12.4	12.6	-0.22	16.5	13.9	2.51
Nerlens Noel	38	36	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.04	9	-3	12	11.3	13.3	-1.92	14.9	14.6	0.32
Dennis Schroder	54	53	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.30	-5	11	-16	13.0	12.1	0.87	14.3	15.2	-0.95
Patrick Patterson	33	31	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.04	6	0	6	11.7	13.0	-1.32	13.8	15.1	-1.27
Hamidou Diallo	26	26	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.14	-9	15	-24	13.5	12.3	1.28	13.0	15.3	-2.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.83,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.98,1,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 89, SAC 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.5%
BOS 89, LAL 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.4%
NJN 77, PHX 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%