NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	89		Excitement	4.4 [920]		MVP	Bobby Jackson (SAC): +13.9%
Sacramento Kings	100		Comeback	1.1 [1096]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -14.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenny Thomas	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.03	12	70%	0.07	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	57%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	8	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Willie Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Derrick Coleman	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.12	0.00	-0.08	13	39%	-0.02	4	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Snow	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	8	50%	-0.05	0	0.00	10	90%	0.03
Marc Jackson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	5	33%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.01
Allen Iverson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	0.00	0.03	23	50%	-0.01	6	-0.13	8	87%	0.02

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.02	-0.05	14	62%	0.14	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.02	0.04	13	82%	0.16	4	-0.07	8	87%	0.02
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	6	69%	0.09	4	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Doug Christie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	17	44%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	0	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Brad Miller	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	10	46%	-0.02	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.7	34.5	17.4	30.5	3.5	33.2	146.3
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +46.0%

SAC +1.3%

PHI -9.6%

SAC +11.3%

SAC +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	SAC	NBA	PHI	SAC	NBA
this game	15.9	14.9	15.7	92.7	109.9	100.5
season	16.2	14.7		96.7	106.9
opponent	15.6	15.8		102.0	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	18.4	15.2	14.1	16.0	15.9
SAC	14.1	14.2	15.3	16.0	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	1	0	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.03	1	-12	13	21.0	15.8	5.18	0.0	14.9	-14.90
Samuel Dalembert	16	15	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.09	2	-13	15	15.8	15.9	-0.08	17.1	14.5	2.59
John Salmons	44	42	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-10	9	14.8	16.8	-1.99	14.1	15.6	-1.45
Willie Green	21	21	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.06	-2	-9	7	16.4	15.7	0.71	15.7	14.7	1.06
Kenny Thomas	69	65	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.16	-2	-9	7	15.3	17.2	-1.87	14.4	16.2	-1.75
Marc Jackson	31	31	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	-1	-9	17.1	15.3	1.85	15.9	14.4	1.52
Aaron McKie	62	59	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.16	-8	-3	-5	16.1	15.4	0.72	15.2	14.4	0.81
Eric Snow	72	67	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.06	-12	1	-13	15.7	16.4	-0.67	14.3	16.5	-2.12
Derrick Coleman	74	70	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.06	-13	2	-15	16.0	15.5	0.55	14.6	16.0	-1.49
Allen Iverson	90	85	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.24	-10	-1	-9	16.1	13.2	2.89	15.2	10.0	5.25

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Bibby	74	79	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.15	14	-3	17	14.9	14.9	-0.05	16.4	13.2	3.21
Peja Stojakovic	83	87	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.16	10	1	9	14.8	16.2	-1.48	16.1	14.1	1.95
Vlade Divac	63	67	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.07	12	-1	13	15.0	14.8	0.17	16.1	15.4	0.66
Bobby Jackson	54	56	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.06	12	-1	13	15.1	14.6	0.43	15.5	16.4	-0.86
Brad Miller	66	69	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.17	6	5	1	14.6	15.6	-1.02	15.7	16.3	-0.53
Darius Songaila	37	39	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.03	6	5	1	14.6	15.1	-0.47	16.2	15.6	0.60
Doug Christie	46	50	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.12	0	11	-11	14.8	15.0	-0.24	15.6	16.1	-0.49
Tony Massenburg	15	16	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.09	-2	13	-15	17.1	14.5	2.59	15.8	15.9	-0.08
Gerald Wallace	17	17	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	14	-17	14.9	14.9	0.05	13.2	16.4	-3.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 104, OKC 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.83,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.98,1,1,0.99,1	96.5%
ORL 80, IND 94	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.83,0.86,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
SAS 84, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.69,0.72,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%