NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	104		Excitement	4.6 [891]		MVP	Jae Crowder (BOS): +23.1%
Boston Celtics	115		Comeback	1.1 [1034]		LVP	Trey Lyles (UTA): -6.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.14	-0.00	0.00	11	77%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	-0.00	0.03	7	107%	0.14	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	10	55%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rudy Gobert	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	44%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Gordon Hayward	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	-0.03	0.05	14	66%	0.08	3	-0.08	7	86%	0.02
Joe Ingles	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	10	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Hood	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	10	35%	-0.06	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Trey Lyles	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jae Crowder	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.23	0.03	0.03	8	105%	0.23	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.19	0.02	0.03	18	72%	0.20	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.02	0.00	16	66%	0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.02	-0.05	7	43%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.01	6	77%	0.09	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	75%	0.06	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.04	7	78%	0.09	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	6	36%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.4	28.4	14.7	28.3	2.4	29.5	127.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +49.4%

BOS +2.2%

UTA -0.9%

UTA -1.8%

BOS +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	BOS	NBA	UTA	BOS	NBA
this game	17.4	14.1	14.8	113.0	126.4	107.7
season	16.1	14.7		108.0	110.1
opponent	14.9	15.0		108.3	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.4	16.5	19.0	17.7	17.4
BOS	14.3	12.8	12.9	16.6	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raul Neto	30	30	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.14	10	-21	31	14.9	18.5	-3.60	14.0	14.1	-0.15
Trey Lyles	12	13	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.05	4	-15	19	14.2	17.8	-3.67	13.2	14.2	-1.01
Boris Diaw	31	30	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-8	5	17.2	17.5	-0.30	12.8	14.7	-1.94
Joe Johnson	42	40	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.21	3	-14	17	15.7	18.7	-3.03	14.6	13.7	0.94
Derrick Favors	56	57	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.11	-6	-5	-1	17.7	16.9	0.82	14.1	14.1	-0.08
Joe Ingles	50	50	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.16	-5	-6	1	17.0	17.8	-0.83	14.5	13.6	0.98
Shelvin Mack	48	47	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	0	-11	18.8	15.8	3.04	13.6	14.6	-1.00
Rodney Hood	64	64	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.16	-9	-2	-7	17.5	17.0	0.46	14.6	12.9	1.72
Rudy Gobert	64	62	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.01	-18	7	-25	18.2	15.4	2.77	14.1	14.1	-0.06
Gordon Hayward	63	62	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.02	-20	9	-29	18.2	15.5	2.74	14.1	14.0	0.15

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jae Crowder	63	64	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.00	21	-10	31	14.3	13.7	0.56	18.5	14.7	3.80
Al Horford	54	57	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.01	18	-7	25	14.1	14.1	0.03	18.9	14.9	4.04
Amir Johnson	49	50	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.00	17	-6	23	14.6	13.5	1.16	18.9	15.5	3.38
Avery Bradley	69	69	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.13	12	-1	13	13.7	15.4	-1.67	17.7	16.5	1.17
Isaiah Thomas	64	67	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.05	12	-1	13	15.0	12.0	3.04	17.8	16.2	1.59
Marcus Smart	55	55	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.20	-3	14	-17	14.2	14.0	0.16	15.8	19.7	-3.88
Kelly Olynyk	43	41	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.20	-6	17	-23	13.5	14.6	-1.11	16.0	18.5	-2.45
Jonas Jerebko	30	29	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.13	-6	17	-23	12.9	14.7	-1.74	14.9	18.5	-3.65
Jaylen Brown	28	28	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.18	-10	21	-31	13.7	14.3	-0.56	14.7	18.5	-3.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.7,0.64,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.8,0.79,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.84,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 103, DET 115	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.64,0.75,0.84,0.77,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.77,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1	94.7%
ATL 78, NYK 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.82,0.9,0.84,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
SEA 98, DAL 107	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.7%