inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 103 Excitement5.0 [798] MVPChauncey Billups (DET): +16.4%
Detroit Pistons 115 Comeback1.1 [1059] LVPChris Richard (MIN): -8.0%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ryan Gomes0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.080.01-0.011064%0.1000.00250%-0.01
Marko Jaric0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.100.010.01587%0.121-0.025100%0.02
Randy Foye0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.01-0.00-0.041446%0.041-0.0100%0.00
Corey Brewer0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.040.000.03590%0.042-0.0200%0.00
Rashad McCants-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.04-0.010.051753%0.001-0.02250%-0.00
Al Jefferson-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.00-0.010.022648%0.012-0.041060%-0.03
Kirk Snyder-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.000.00536%-0.032-0.04425%-0.04
Chris Richard-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.09-0.01-0.0230%-0.042-0.0400%0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chauncey Billups0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.140.030.01871%0.1600.008100%0.04
Jarvis Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.080.04-0.021271%0.183-0.04475%-0.00
Lindsey Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.01-0.00675%0.0800.0000%0.00
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.02-0.01667%0.102-0.04367%0.00
Antonio McDyess0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01-0.01856%0.051-0.022100%0.01
Arron Afflalo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.001100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Amir Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.022100%0.021-0.012100%0.00
Richard Hamilton0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.011753%0.073-0.0700%0.00
Rasheed Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.01442%-0.0100.00475%0.00
Theo Ratliff0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jason Maxiell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.020.03650%-0.001-0.02650%-0.03
Rodney Stuckey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.070.00-0.01843%-0.023-0.045100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.23.427.916.726.51.636.5138.6
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +26.7%
DET +13.3%
DET +10.1%
MIN -4.0%
DET +3.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINDETNBAMINDETNBA
this game15.515.115.4109.6122.3105.7
season15.916.8102.2108.8
opponent15.815.0101.3109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIN15.518.016.212.715.5
DET15.217.113.215.515.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Richard32310.00-0.500.50-0.186-182415.215.7-0.4715.914.81.09
Corey Brewer5050-0.09-0.410.31-0.121-131414.716.4-1.6215.614.60.94
Randy Foye6869-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.09-6-6015.116.5-1.3315.514.21.28
Marko Jaric5758-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.09-7-5-216.813.53.3714.815.6-0.77
Rashad McCants6260-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.13-9-3-614.916.7-1.8014.815.7-0.89
Al Jefferson7575-0.42-0.08-0.35-0.16-9-3-615.615.20.3615.314.70.57
Kirk Snyder4545-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.02-153-1816.115.01.0914.915.3-0.39
Ryan Gomes8182-0.580.08-0.650.04-219-3015.615.20.4014.817.7-2.99

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rodney Stuckey44440.290.210.080.0875216.114.31.8315.415.6-0.13
Theo Ratliff15150.290.210.07-0.01102817.314.72.6118.115.03.05
Lindsey Hunter15150.290.210.07-0.01102817.314.72.6118.115.03.05
Jarvis Hayes46460.290.210.070.1166016.214.21.9915.215.8-0.68
Jason Maxiell46460.290.210.070.1166016.214.21.9915.215.8-0.68
Rasheed Wallace48480.210.29-0.070.0466014.216.2-1.9915.815.20.68
Tayshaun Prince48480.210.29-0.070.0466014.216.2-1.9915.815.20.68
Chauncey Billups50500.210.29-0.080.0657-214.316.1-1.8315.615.40.13
Antonio McDyess55560.160.34-0.180.0739-614.516.1-1.6515.815.00.80
Richard Hamilton55560.160.34-0.180.0739-614.516.1-1.6515.815.00.80
Arron Afflalo24230.050.45-0.390.08-113-1415.315.10.2613.016.3-3.25
Amir Johnson24230.050.45-0.390.08-113-1415.315.10.2613.016.3-3.25


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.64,0.75,0.84,0.77,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.77,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 86, DAL 960.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.88,0.93,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,195.4%
ATL 78, NYK 900.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.82,0.9,0.84,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.3%
CLE 72, NOH 820.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.76,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.97,1,1,195.2%