NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	93		Excitement	5.6 [696]		MVP	John Stockton (UTA): +9.5%
Utah Jazz	108		Comeback	1.1 [1048]		LVP	Rasho Nesterovic (MIN): -11.0%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Smith	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	4	80%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Terrell Brandon	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	-0.03	-0.05	14	66%	0.11	5	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Sam Mitchell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	12	61%	0.04	4	-0.08	9	89%	0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	10	30%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	9	27%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Malik Sealy	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.00	-0.08	0.01	11	62%	0.05	3	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	7	55%	-0.01	3	-0.10	6	50%	-0.04

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.02	0.01	8	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	13	54%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.04	0.00	6	75%	0.13	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	9	60%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	6	60%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	80%	0.02	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	6	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.06
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.03	24	60%	0.09	5	-0.10	9	89%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.5	25.5	16.3	26.5	2.5	28.8	128.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +44.4%

MIN -7.7%

MIN -6.7%

UTA +18.9%

UTA +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	UTA	NBA	MIN	UTA	NBA
this game	14.4	16.8	15.2	98.9	118.7	101.7
season	15.1	16.3		103.5	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.7		100.6	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.4	13.5	13.8	17.0	14.4
UTA	13.8	17.2	20.5	16.5	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dean Garrett	23	23	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-14	13	16.1	13.8	2.30	17.0	16.8	0.24
Sam Mitchell	36	35	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-11	7	13.1	15.2	-2.10	17.7	16.3	1.40
Wally Szczerbiak	54	52	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.08	-9	-6	-3	14.8	13.8	0.96	16.3	17.5	-1.16
Anthony Peeler	39	38	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.17	-13	-2	-11	14.5	14.3	0.19	15.6	17.7	-2.05
Bobby Jackson	11	11	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.01	-8	-7	-1	15.5	14.2	1.25	19.4	16.5	2.89
Kevin Garnett	57	57	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.01	-9	-6	-3	15.0	13.4	1.60	17.6	15.6	1.97
Terrell Brandon	83	80	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.07	-7	-8	1	14.2	15.5	-1.25	16.5	19.4	-2.89
Malik Sealy	55	53	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.23	-2	-13	11	14.3	14.5	-0.19	17.7	15.6	2.05
Joe Smith	41	38	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.13	-8	-7	-1	14.1	14.6	-0.49	15.6	17.7	-2.09
Rasho Nesterovic	71	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.03	-14	-1	-13	13.8	16.1	-2.30	16.8	17.0	-0.24

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Stockton	58	60	0.68	-0.18	0.87	-0.02	24	-9	33	15.6	18.9	-3.27	15.0	13.3	1.70
Greg Ostertag	53	55	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.07	21	-6	27	17.4	16.1	1.32	14.4	14.3	0.07
Karl Malone	76	77	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.01	18	-3	21	16.3	19.6	-3.32	14.2	14.8	-0.58
Bryon Russell	60	63	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.02	18	-3	21	16.8	16.9	-0.17	13.9	15.2	-1.31
Jeff Hornacek	63	65	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.09	12	3	9	16.2	18.1	-1.90	13.3	16.8	-3.53
Howard Eisley	43	45	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.23	-5	20	-25	18.6	15.3	3.29	14.9	13.9	1.03
Scott Padgett	31	31	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	18	-21	16.9	16.8	0.17	15.2	13.9	1.31
Jacque Vaughn	18	18	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	16	-17	18.6	16.4	2.16	14.9	14.2	0.67
Pete Chilcutt	15	17	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.05	-3	18	-21	19.6	16.3	3.32	14.8	14.2	0.58
Olden Polynice	38	39	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.13	-6	21	-27	16.1	17.4	-1.32	14.3	14.4	-0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.89,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 92, SAS 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.73,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,1	94.4%
DET 69, NYK 78	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.82,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.71,0.96,1,1	94.3%
POR 99, DAL 104	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.72,0.8,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.87,0.94,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.86,0.9,0.79,0.93,0.98,0.86,0.96,1,1,1	93.9%