NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	69		Excitement	5.7 [409]		MVP	Charlie Ward (NYK): +12.2%
New York Knicks	78		Comeback	1.2 [529]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DET): -18.4%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Don Reid	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Loy Vaught	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Henson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Dumars	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Macon	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.02	-0.06	0.04	21	57%	-0.01	4	-0.11	12	92%	0.03
Jerome Williams	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	5	17%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Lindsey Hunter	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	0.00	6	21%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Bison Dele	-0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.07	-0.02	12	35%	-0.10	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.03
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18	-0.17	-0.04	-0.02	11	17%	-0.16	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.07	-0.03	7	56%	0.12	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.02
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	80%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.04	0.01	12	52%	0.05	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Rick Brunson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wingate	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	6	37%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	0.00	0.01	18	45%	0.01	3	-0.10	6	100%	0.03
Larry Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	11	44%	-0.00	4	-0.09	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.3	27.0	15.5	28.5	2.3	37.6	136.0
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +72.8%

DET -3.5%

DET -16.1%

DET -9.1%

NYK +5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	NYK	NBA	DET	NYK	NBA
this game	17.8	17.1	15.8	84.1	94.0	99.6
season	16.6	16.0		101.4	97.0
opponent	16.6	16.1		95.1	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	17.6	18.1	19.1	16.6	17.8
NYK	13.1	19.8	19.9	16.9	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Macon	18	20	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-7	5	16.3	18.2	-1.94	13.5	18.3	-4.77
Steve Henson	1	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-7	5	5.0	18.0	-12.95	8.0	17.3	-9.35
Loy Vaught	36	37	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.10	3	-12	15	18.6	17.2	1.36	18.1	16.3	1.73
Don Reid	25	25	-0.06	-0.45	0.39	-0.06	0	-9	9	18.5	17.5	0.99	18.5	16.5	2.00
Eric Montross	16	16	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-6	3	16.7	18.1	-1.37	16.5	17.3	-0.77
Lindsey Hunter	33	32	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.03	-5	-4	-1	19.9	16.4	3.54	18.2	16.4	1.79
Jud Buechler	29	28	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.21	0	-9	9	17.6	17.9	-0.37	18.9	16.2	2.67
Jerome Williams	30	30	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.08	-7	-2	-5	17.2	18.1	-0.93	16.7	17.4	-0.66
Jerry Stackhouse	57	59	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.25	-3	-6	3	17.5	18.4	-0.87	18.1	14.8	3.28
Grant Hill	69	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.23	-5	-4	-1	17.1	21.6	-4.54	16.1	23.1	-6.97
Joe Dumars	41	40	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.14	-11	2	-13	18.0	17.6	0.32	16.5	17.7	-1.10
Bison Dele	55	55	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.18	-10	1	-11	18.3	16.8	1.46	17.1	17.2	-0.20

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Ward	69	71	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.03	16	-7	23	17.2	16.9	0.23	17.4	20.3	-2.86
Allan Houston	75	72	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.26	7	2	5	16.9	19.0	-2.08	16.6	26.2	-9.57
Patrick Ewing	68	66	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.16	10	-1	11	17.2	16.8	0.39	17.1	20.6	-3.52
Larry Johnson	69	67	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.29	4	5	-1	17.1	17.4	-0.28	18.2	15.9	2.36
Chris Childs	44	44	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.18	4	5	-1	17.3	16.9	0.47	18.0	17.6	0.40
Kurt Thomas	34	34	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.11	3	6	-3	15.9	17.9	-2.00	20.3	16.0	4.22
Dennis Scott	15	15	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	4	1	17.8	17.0	0.83	14.1	18.6	-4.56
Rick Brunson	1	0	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	9	-9	2.0	17.3	-15.30	0.0	17.8	-17.79
Chris Dudley	11	11	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.04	-1	10	-11	16.9	17.2	-0.24	17.2	17.9	-0.71
David Wingate	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	10	-11	2.0	17.3	-15.30	38.0	17.5	20.46
Marcus Camby	28	29	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.03	-2	11	-13	19.4	16.0	3.43	20.5	16.3	4.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.82,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.71,0.96,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 117, DAL 125	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.85,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.81,0.78,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.98,1,1	94.6%
MIN 93, UTA 108	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.89,1,1,1	94.3%
DAL 88, POR 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.96,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.88,0.83,0.71,0.67,0.81,0.83,1,1,1	93.9%