NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	117		Excitement	6.1 [568]		MVP	Josh Howard (DAL): +57.0%
Dallas Mavericks	125		Comeback	1.1 [1040]		LVP	Brandon Bass (DAL): -6.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0.37	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.21,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.37	0.25	0.14	0.01	20	77%	0.42	3	-0.05	13	92%	0.09
Mehmet Okur	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	4	100%	0.10	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	-0.02	0.02	15	73%	0.13	4	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	8	62%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	44%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Paul Millsap	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.01	0.03	5	58%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jarron Collins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
CJ Miles	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	10	46%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.02
Ronnie Brewer	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.01	7	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Howard	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.57	0.57	0.40	0.19	0.02	19	85%	0.59	1	-0.02	17	88%	0.06
Erick Dampier	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.18	0.05	0.01	8	84%	0.22	0	0.00	9	78%	-0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.16	0.06	0.02	11	79%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.00	0.09	-0.03	17	47%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	71%	0.07	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	0.02	7	53%	0.04	3	-0.08	5	80%	-0.01
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.7	28.5	16.0	27.2	1.8	34.2	135.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +42.5%

DAL +10.4%

UTA -5.2%

DAL +2.3%

DAL +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DAL	NBA	UTA	DAL	NBA
this game	15.1	16.5	15.4	128.6	137.4	105.7
season	15.5	16.1		111.2	108.9
opponent	15.4	15.0		105.0	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.9	16.3	12.0	16.5	15.1
DAL	15.4	15.0	18.0	17.8	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Harpring	47	47	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.21	4	-12	16	16.2	14.0	2.19	15.6	17.5	-1.95
Jarron Collins	29	30	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-8	8	15.1	15.2	-0.09	15.2	17.2	-1.96
Paul Millsap	43	43	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.25	5	-13	18	15.3	14.9	0.41	16.3	16.7	-0.41
Jason Hart	26	26	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.04	-4	-4	0	17.0	14.4	2.67	14.8	17.2	-2.39
CJ Miles	36	36	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.13	-3	-5	2	16.4	14.3	2.03	17.1	16.1	0.98
Mehmet Okur	39	38	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.01	-8	0	-8	14.6	15.5	-0.90	16.9	16.3	0.60
Ronnie Brewer	56	56	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.13	-7	-1	-6	14.2	16.7	-2.48	16.2	17.1	-0.88
Deron Williams	65	65	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.23	-4	-4	0	14.4	17.0	-2.67	17.2	14.8	2.39
Carlos Boozer	52	53	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.11	-10	2	-12	14.9	15.4	-0.53	17.1	15.7	1.47
Andrei Kirilenko	62	61	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.15	-13	5	-18	14.9	15.7	-0.82	17.2	15.0	2.21

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Howard	80	81	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.16	19	-11	30	16.3	18.1	-1.79	15.5	12.3	3.18
Dirk Nowitzki	67	67	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.21	12	-4	16	17.2	14.7	2.51	15.6	14.0	1.59
Erick Dampier	57	58	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.21	11	-3	14	17.6	14.7	2.94	15.7	14.2	1.44
Devin Harris	67	66	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.11	12	-4	16	16.6	16.3	0.25	14.5	16.8	-2.24
Jason Terry	67	67	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.30	2	6	-4	16.6	16.2	0.42	15.3	14.8	0.46
Juwan Howard	18	17	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.01	2	6	-4	13.3	17.3	-4.04	15.9	15.0	0.92
Jerry Stackhouse	43	43	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.11	-3	11	-14	16.4	16.6	-0.23	15.4	14.9	0.50
Devean George	19	18	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.07	-4	12	-16	17.5	16.3	1.21	13.7	15.5	-1.76
Brandon Bass	24	24	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	12	-16	14.7	17.2	-2.51	14.0	15.6	-1.59
DeSagana Diop	13	14	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.10	-7	15	-22	15.6	16.7	-1.05	13.4	15.5	-2.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.85,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.81,0.78,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 102, MIA 107	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.89,0.87,0.85,0.94,0.89,0.91,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1	94.7%
DET 69, NYK 78	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.82,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.71,0.96,1,1	94.6%
NJN 84, UTA 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.98,1	94.5%