NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	92		Excitement	7.6 [301]		MVP	Johnny Newman (NJN): +20.4%
New Jersey Nets	97		Comeback	1.4 [736]		LVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): -43.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.13	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.13	0.14	0.00	0.02	16	77%	0.19	3	-0.07	8	75%	0.01
Jeff Foster	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	67%	0.05	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Zan Tabak	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.05	-0.08	0.03	-0.01	11	44%	0.02	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Jonathan Bender	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.08	-0.11	0.00	17	38%	-0.14	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.43	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.27,-0.3,-0.43,-0.43	-0.17	-0.26	0.01	20	48%	-0.12	7	-0.31	8	37%	-0.07

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2	0.20	0.13	0.08	-0.00	9	89%	0.23	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.07	-0.01	11	54%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lucious Harris	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.02	-0.03	15	45%	0.03	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Evan Eschmeyer	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	6	55%	0.01	2	-0.07	8	87%	0.03
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	19	44%	-0.04	2	-0.06	7	71%	-0.03
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.15	-0.14	-0.01	13	43%	-0.09	4	-0.19	9	56%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.7	27.8	14.8	25.4	1.5	32.5	131.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +19.7%

NJN +5.8%

IND -5.6%

NJN +30.8%

IND -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NJN	NBA	IND	NJN	NBA
this game	14.9	15.9	15.5	96.8	105.4	100.9
season	15.9	15.5		99.3	97.8
opponent	15.1	15.6		103.0	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.9	15.8	13.0	17.3	14.9
NJN	14.9	15.5	16.5	17.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zan Tabak	36	33	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.15	4	-9	13	14.4	15.2	-0.84	16.7	15.5	1.19
Jeff Foster	11	9	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.04	-6	1	-7	13.4	15.1	-1.72	15.1	16.0	-0.91
Sam Perkins	32	34	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-1	-3	15.4	14.6	0.83	16.3	15.7	0.62
Austin Croshere	53	51	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.19	1	-6	7	16.9	12.3	4.62	16.0	15.9	0.10
Al Harrington	44	45	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.22	2	-7	9	13.2	16.4	-3.17	16.1	15.8	0.30
Jonathan Bender	13	12	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.03	-7	2	-9	15.5	14.8	0.76	14.7	16.1	-1.46
Reggie Miller	84	83	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.38	3	-8	11	14.3	19.1	-4.76	16.1	14.6	1.53
Jermaine O'Neal	88	83	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.32	-3	-2	-1	14.8	15.9	-1.05	15.8	17.2	-1.43
Derrick McKey	28	27	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.25	-7	2	-9	16.8	14.1	2.75	15.6	16.1	-0.54
Travis Best	86	83	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.30	-8	3	-11	14.6	17.7	-3.07	15.7	17.7	-1.92

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johnny Newman	43	45	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.21	16	-11	27	16.2	15.7	0.56	16.5	13.4	3.05
Aaron Williams	42	43	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.26	4	1	3	15.8	16.1	-0.32	16.1	13.9	2.21
Stephen Jackson	60	61	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.31	2	3	-1	15.1	17.5	-2.40	13.2	17.9	-4.67
Kendall Gill	68	69	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.33	-1	6	-7	15.2	18.0	-2.74	13.5	18.6	-5.14
Stephon Marbury	77	80	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.32	-1	6	-7	16.0	15.7	0.24	14.5	17.0	-2.51
Kevin Ollie	15	15	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.03	6	-1	7	15.7	16.0	-0.24	17.0	14.5	2.51
Lucious Harris	24	26	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.02	6	-1	7	18.0	15.2	2.74	18.6	13.5	5.14
Evan Eschmeyer	55	57	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	7	-9	16.3	15.4	0.89	14.4	15.6	-1.25
Kenyon Martin	76	79	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.17	-5	10	-15	16.3	14.4	1.89	15.0	14.5	0.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.83,0.74,0.6,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 92, SAS 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.73,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,1	93.4%
CHA 93, IND 98	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.68,0.78,0.78,0.9,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.93,0.98,0.85,0.92,1	92.9%
IND 98, SAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.88,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.87,0.83,0.68,0.78,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.79,0.81,0.73,0.8,0.79,0.94,0.95,1	92.9%