NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	91		Excitement	7.1 [373]		MVP	Cedric Henderson (CLE): +20.4%
Seattle SuperSonics	99		Comeback	1.5 [1025]		LVP	Brevin Knight (CLE): -23.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cedric Henderson	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.08	0.12	-0.00	15	66%	0.21	1	-0.01	5	60%	0.03
Wesley Person	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.07	0.00	11	67%	0.15	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Henry James	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	62%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Scott Brooks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	11	53%	0.10	4	-0.18	10	70%	-0.02
Derek Anderson	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21	-0.04	-0.12	0.04	7	70%	-0.03	5	-0.18	6	100%	0.02
Brevin Knight	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23	-0.18	-0.08	-0.03	10	23%	-0.12	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.07	0.00	18	62%	0.17	3	-0.08	9	67%	-0.06
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	13	62%	0.06	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.06
David Wingate	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.05	-0.01	13	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.09	0.07	-0.01	15	44%	0.05	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.03
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	7	50%	0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	8	35%	-0.02	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	65.8	1.7	28.2	15.7	28.0	2.0	33.3	174.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +7.7%

CLE -6.6%

SEA +18.8%

SEA +26.8%

SEA +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	SEA	NBA	CLE	SEA	NBA
this game	15.0	16.3	15.6	98.9	107.6	102.5
season	15.4	15.3		99.4	109.3
opponent	16.2	16.0		102.3	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.3	17.5	14.0	15.5	15.0
SEA	15.5	15.2	20.3	14.5	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	36	38	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.08	1	-9	10	13.7	15.9	-2.15	16.0	16.5	-0.46
Shawn Kemp	56	59	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-12	16	14.3	16.1	-1.77	17.0	15.0	1.94
Henry James	4	4	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-4	0	17.5	14.9	2.58	16.2	16.3	-0.02
Vitaly Potapenko	53	47	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.01	-7	-1	-6	15.8	14.0	1.75	16.6	15.9	0.71
Danny Ferry	11	11	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.01	-9	1	-10	17.2	14.7	2.44	14.0	16.6	-2.58
Scott Brooks	22	21	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.02	-9	1	-10	14.7	15.1	-0.46	15.6	16.5	-0.91
Brevin Knight	65	66	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.25	-2	-6	4	15.2	14.7	0.41	16.5	15.6	0.91
Cedric Henderson	84	84	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.28	-2	-6	4	15.1	14.4	0.72	16.5	14.1	2.35
Wesley Person	75	75	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.38	1	-9	10	15.0	15.2	-0.18	16.8	14.0	2.79
Derek Anderson	54	55	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.20	-12	4	-16	15.2	14.8	0.46	14.8	18.4	-3.61

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hersey Hawkins	66	66	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.29	15	-7	22	16.3	16.2	0.06	15.9	12.8	3.05
Dale Ellis	58	56	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.09	19	-11	30	15.1	18.2	-3.11	15.2	14.8	0.42
Detlef Schrempf	80	80	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.43	3	5	-2	16.3	15.8	0.50	14.3	19.8	-5.52
Gary Payton	85	86	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.29	3	5	-2	16.3	15.4	0.91	15.1	14.7	0.39
Vin Baker	70	70	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.31	-5	13	-18	17.3	13.0	4.24	15.3	14.1	1.18
Sam Perkins	47	48	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.10	6	2	4	16.1	16.4	-0.25	14.4	15.7	-1.33
Greg Anthony	9	9	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.01	1	7	-6	15.6	16.3	-0.79	17.2	14.8	2.43
David Wingate	1	2	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	10	-12	14.0	16.3	-2.30	9.0	15.2	-6.17
Jim McIlvaine	23	21	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	13	-18	18.1	15.7	2.48	14.9	15.1	-0.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.84,0.81,0.79,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.72,0.61,0.71,0.98,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 74, PHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.75,0.82,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.88,0.91,0.83,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.76,0.83,0.75,0.84,0.9,0.95,1	93.3%
POR 91, DET 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.83,0.81,0.92,0.85,0.88,0.84,0.77,0.71,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.62,0.76,0.73,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.76,0.93,0.95,0.96,1	92.7%
VAN 92, CHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.73,0.62,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.73,0.74,0.89,0.98,0.99,1	92.4%