NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	90		Excitement	5.6 [725]		MVP	Mike Bibby (MIA): +30.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	102		Comeback	1.1 [151]		LVP	James Jones (MIA): -10.2%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0.30	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.24,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.22	0.13	0.04	11	96%	0.32	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Juwan Howard	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.04	21	52%	0.04	3	-0.05	10	60%	-0.02
Eddie House	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	20	50%	0.00	3	-0.07	8	75%	-0.01
Chris Bosh	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	14	33%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
James Jones	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	6	17%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.21	0.06	0.05	9	95%	0.21	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Luke Harangody	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	-0.01	7	64%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Eyenga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.01	0.05	-0.05	6	50%	0.10	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	100%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	6	55%	0.11	3	-0.10	8	62%	-0.04
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	65%	0.09	2	-0.09	12	58%	-0.02
Joey Graham	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	0.01	10	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	0.04	13	58%	0.05	5	-0.10	10	90%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	1.7	30.0	15.8	33.1	8.6	32.3	148.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +55.5%

CLE +1.8%

CLE +3.0%

MIA -12.1%

CLE +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	CLE	NBA	MIA	CLE	NBA
this game	16.2	15.4	15.5	97.8	113.3	105.7
season	16.0	15.1		109.0	100.8
opponent	15.4	15.6		110.2	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	17.2	16.4	16.3	15.1	16.2
CLE	13.5	16.3	15.7	16.2	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Anthony	22	23	0.18	-0.68	0.87	-0.20	13	-25	38	16.5	16.2	0.28	13.9	15.9	-2.06
Eddie House	10	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.02	-1	-11	10	18.6	16.0	2.65	14.1	15.6	-1.49
Juwan Howard	17	17	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	-9	6	17.9	15.9	2.02	14.2	15.7	-1.51
Erick Dampier	23	22	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-7	2	17.7	15.8	1.94	15.0	15.5	-0.47
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	11	12	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.06	-7	-5	-2	17.1	16.1	0.97	16.4	15.2	1.17
James Jones	63	63	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.22	-1	-11	10	15.4	18.0	-2.57	15.8	14.5	1.26
LeBron James	84	82	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.17	-9	-3	-6	16.3	15.6	0.67	15.2	17.2	-2.03
Dwyane Wade	84	81	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.13	-12	0	-12	15.6	22.9	-7.27	15.8	11.9	3.90
Mike Bibby	82	79	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.17	-11	-1	-10	16.0	18.6	-2.65	15.6	14.1	1.49
Chris Bosh	64	60	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	0.04	-24	12	-36	16.6	15.4	1.22	15.6	15.0	0.55

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Hollins	66	69	0.84	-0.34	1.19	-0.12	33	-21	54	15.2	16.1	-0.93	17.4	12.9	4.49
Baron Davis	46	49	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.05	22	-10	32	15.0	15.9	-0.91	15.9	16.6	-0.69
Anthony Parker	56	58	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.01	21	-9	30	15.8	14.8	1.02	15.6	17.3	-1.72
JJ Hickson	64	63	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	9	-6	15.0	16.3	-1.33	15.7	17.5	-1.87
Alonzo Gee	30	32	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.13	13	-1	14	14.4	15.9	-1.45	19.0	14.8	4.19
Ramon Sessions	49	48	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.22	-6	18	-24	15.1	15.8	-0.65	17.1	15.3	1.81
Joey Graham	6	6	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.06	-2	14	-16	21.0	15.0	6.00	8.2	16.8	-8.64
Christian Eyenga	40	40	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.21	-9	21	-30	16.0	14.9	1.03	14.6	17.5	-2.94
Daniel Gibson	49	49	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.09	-5	17	-22	15.8	14.9	0.87	16.0	16.5	-0.42
Luke Harangody	44	46	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.14	-10	22	-32	15.6	15.2	0.33	16.4	16.1	0.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.66,0.78,0.83,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.84,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.8,0.68,0.53,0.59,0.72,0.9,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 91, DET 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.83,0.81,0.92,0.85,0.88,0.84,0.77,0.71,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.62,0.76,0.73,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.76,0.93,0.95,0.96,1	92.8%
MIA 74, PHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.75,0.82,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.88,0.91,0.83,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.76,0.83,0.75,0.84,0.9,0.95,1	92.1%
UTA 92, POR 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.88,0.8,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.83,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,0.98,1	92.1%