NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	92		Excitement	5.8 [660]		MVP	Steven Smith (POR): +8.0%
Portland Trail Blazers	101		Comeback	1.1 [1076]		LVP	Howard Eisley (UTA): -9.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryon Russell	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.01	0.04	14	68%	0.10	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02
Greg Ostertag	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	60%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04
Jacque Vaughn	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	67%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Karl Malone	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	20	50%	0.00	1	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Quincy Lewis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	8	50%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Jeff Hornacek	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	7	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Olden Polynice	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Armen Gilliam	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	5	20%	-0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	7	47%	-0.01	3	-0.09	1	0%	-0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.01	12	64%	0.11	1	-0.03	1	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.03	7	64%	0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	4	57%	0.04	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	9	65%	0.06	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	10	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	5	75%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	14	53%	0.05	2	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	4	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.8	34.2	19.5	26.5	3.4	39.5	148.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +31.9%

POR +6.1%

POR +4.9%

POR +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	POR	NBA	UTA	POR	NBA
this game	17.2	16.3	15.2	108.2	116.1	101.7
season	16.3	15.9		104.5	105.9
opponent	15.7	15.2		99.1	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	18.2	17.8	19.1	14.2	17.2
POR	17.9	15.6	16.9	15.2	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adam Keefe	7	7	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-13	17	16.1	17.3	-1.11	13.6	16.6	-3.00
Armen Gilliam	26	28	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-11	13	15.1	18.1	-3.01	17.5	15.8	1.67
Jacque Vaughn	7	7	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	-7	5	20.0	16.9	3.09	21.9	15.8	6.01
Greg Ostertag	29	31	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.16	2	-11	13	15.7	17.9	-2.19	16.6	16.2	0.38
Quincy Lewis	35	37	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.20	2	-11	13	16.1	17.9	-1.83	15.9	16.6	-0.67
Bryon Russell	75	76	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.16	-1	-8	7	17.1	17.7	-0.61	16.1	17.7	-1.60
Howard Eisley	43	46	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.15	-4	-5	1	16.7	17.7	-1.04	17.1	15.5	1.65
Olden Polynice	48	48	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.08	-7	-2	-5	18.5	15.4	3.07	16.6	15.9	0.70
Jeff Hornacek	37	38	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.00	-10	1	-11	18.2	16.3	1.91	17.1	15.8	1.32
John Stockton	51	50	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.14	-16	7	-23	17.4	16.8	0.62	15.3	17.8	-2.52
Karl Malone	67	67	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.17	-15	6	-21	17.6	15.4	2.25	15.5	19.0	-3.53

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Smith	56	55	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.22	11	-2	13	15.8	17.3	-1.49	17.7	16.1	1.59
Arvydas Sabonis	53	53	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.18	9	0	9	15.8	17.2	-1.43	17.9	15.9	2.02
Detlef Schrempf	41	40	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.13	10	-1	11	15.4	17.2	-1.78	15.9	18.3	-2.44
Greg Anthony	31	29	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.12	7	2	5	16.2	16.4	-0.22	16.4	17.5	-1.09
Rasheed Wallace	56	53	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.21	3	6	-3	16.6	15.9	0.67	16.7	18.0	-1.34
Brian Grant	44	43	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.05	7	2	5	16.9	15.7	1.16	17.6	16.7	0.89
Damon Stoudamire	56	56	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.12	2	7	-5	16.4	16.2	0.22	17.5	16.4	1.09
Scottie Pippen	53	51	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.13	-1	10	-11	16.9	15.4	1.51	18.0	16.0	1.99
Jermaine O'Neal	21	21	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	10	-11	15.9	16.5	-0.56	15.6	17.7	-2.05
Bonzi Wells	24	24	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.01	-2	11	-13	17.9	15.7	2.13	16.3	17.5	-1.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.88,0.8,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.83,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 83, MIA 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.8,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.8,0.72,0.59,0.8,0.87,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.0%
NYK 92, SAS 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.73,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,1	93.9%
HOU 98, TOR 116	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.67,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.74,0.79,0.74,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%