NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	99		Excitement	7.0 [429]		MVP	Joe Johnson (BOS): +29.3%
Milwaukee Bucks	105		Comeback	1.1 [955]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -22.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.20	0.13	0.04	12	88%	0.29	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Walter McCarty	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kedrick Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mark Blount	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.05,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.1	-0.05	-0.08	-0.02	30	44%	-0.07	1	-0.03	6	83%	-0.01
Kenny Anderson	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	4	33%	-0.11	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Paul Pierce	-0.23	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.1,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.23,-0.31,-0.37,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.06	-0.12	0.05	30	49%	-0.05	4	-0.18	8	87%	0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18	0.18	0.13	0.03	-0.01	19	70%	0.24	2	-0.06	8	100%	0.07
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	-0.01	17	57%	0.10	0	0.00	8	100%	0.11
Sam Cassell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.01	14	64%	0.10	3	-0.06	11	100%	0.05
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.05	2	40%	-0.02	1	0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Mark Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	4	0%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	10	41%	-0.10	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	0.2	41.9	0.3	23.8	1.8	33.5	127.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +11.5%

MIL +39.6%

BOS -2.8%

MIL +3.6%

BOS -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	MIL	NBA	BOS	MIL	NBA
this game	17.2	13.5	15.6	104.2	114.1	102.3
season	15.0	15.3		100.9	104.7
opponent	16.0	15.7		105.1	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	18.1	18.3	15.8	16.8	17.2
MIL	13.2	12.2	17.0	12.0	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kedrick Brown	11	9	0.24	-0.74	0.99	-0.08	11	-17	28	13.8	17.7	-3.87	22.3	12.5	9.79
Mark Blount	30	29	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.11	10	-16	26	14.5	18.5	-4.01	17.0	11.9	5.11
Milt Palacio	29	28	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.13	6	-12	18	13.8	18.8	-4.96	15.8	12.5	3.29
Walter McCarty	7	7	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-6	6	12.9	17.6	-4.73	15.6	13.3	2.24
Erick Strickland	19	18	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.01	-6	0	-6	15.7	17.6	-1.88	12.3	13.8	-1.45
Vitaly Potapenko	16	16	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.01	-8	2	-10	17.6	17.2	0.39	11.6	13.9	-2.27
Paul Pierce	86	83	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.33	-2	-4	2	17.6	13.6	4.07	13.6	12.9	0.68
Tony Battie	49	47	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.20	-8	2	-10	18.8	15.6	3.25	12.0	15.1	-3.11
Antoine Walker	93	90	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	0	-6	17.4	10.5	6.89	13.4	17.0	-3.58
Kenny Anderson	66	64	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.19	-12	6	-18	18.8	13.8	4.96	12.5	15.8	-3.29
Joe Johnson	69	69	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.24	-15	9	-24	18.0	15.3	2.66	12.5	16.6	-4.14

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glenn Robinson	72	70	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.24	16	-10	26	12.1	18.4	-6.26	17.6	16.3	1.25
Ray Allen	78	81	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.40	9	-3	12	13.8	11.6	2.27	17.0	18.4	-1.39
Anthony Mason	67	66	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.36	9	-3	12	13.6	13.2	0.47	16.9	17.9	-0.99
Sam Cassell	69	69	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.33	9	-3	12	13.7	12.9	0.78	17.0	17.9	-0.94
Tim Thomas	48	53	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.31	-4	10	-14	15.0	11.9	3.09	16.6	18.0	-1.36
Mark Pope	33	35	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	2	2	13.6	13.5	0.12	18.9	16.3	2.56
Ervin Johnson	42	44	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.06	-3	9	-12	13.1	13.8	-0.74	16.4	17.9	-1.51
Rafer Alston	23	26	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	9	-12	12.9	13.7	-0.78	17.9	17.0	0.94
Jason Caffey	28	31	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	-0.09	-7	13	-20	13.7	13.4	0.31	18.0	16.9	1.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.72,0.82,0.8,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.77,0.69,0.47,0.55,0.61,0.79,0.85,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 101, MEM 107	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.7,0.82,0.79,0.86,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.89,0.86,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.82,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.79,0.83,0.92,1	93.1%
WAS 89, MEM 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.86,0.82,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.85,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.46,0.48,0.75,0.72,0.85,0.98,1	92.7%
CHI 86, CLE 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.79,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.83,0.81,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.96,0.92,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.7,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.66,0.53,0.62,0.83,0.91,0.97,1	92.3%