NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	86		Excitement	6.7 [462]		MVP	Khalid El-Amin (CHI): +17.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	94		Comeback	1.2 [971]		LVP	Ron Mercer (CHI): -25.3%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khalid El-Amin	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.08	0.08	-0.02	12	71%	0.22	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.04	-0.01	9	60%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Corey Benjamin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Jamal Crawford	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	5	55%	0.02	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Dragan Tarlac	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	1	100%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	9	32%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	20	45%	-0.09	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.02
Bryce Drew	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.16	-0.00	-0.02	9	15%	-0.10	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Ron Mercer	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25	-0.23	-0.05	-0.03	20	26%	-0.16	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.06	-0.01	8	60%	0.15	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Lamond Murray	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	16	60%	0.12	2	-0.10	11	82%	-0.00
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	12	53%	0.07	1	-0.06	6	67%	-0.04
Trajan Langdon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	4	62%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Etdrick Bohannon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	9	60%	0.04	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	8	54%	-0.04	3	-0.04	8	87%	0.06
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.7	29.3	15.6	25.0	1.4	31.6	128.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +49.1%

CLE +27.4%

CLE +0.5%

CHI -27.2%

CLE +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CLE	NBA	CHI	CLE	NBA
this game	16.3	13.7	15.5	88.7	98.9	100.9
season	16.4	15.3		95.2	98.4
opponent	15.6	15.1		102.6	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.9	16.8	15.2	16.2	16.3
CLE	13.0	14.5	14.1	13.2	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dragan Tarlac	18	17	0.28	-0.78	1.06	-0.04	11	-19	30	12.9	17.0	-4.09	17.3	12.9	4.38
Corey Benjamin	24	24	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.27	13	-21	34	14.8	16.8	-1.92	15.5	13.1	2.42
Jamal Crawford	14	14	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	-4	0	17.9	16.0	1.93	16.4	13.2	3.21
Bryce Drew	45	43	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.03	-5	-3	-2	16.8	15.8	0.97	13.1	14.2	-1.01
Marcus Fizer	56	55	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.26	1	-9	10	15.1	17.8	-2.69	13.9	13.4	0.55
Khalid El-Amin	52	52	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.24	-3	-5	2	15.8	16.8	-0.97	14.2	13.1	1.01
Brad Miller	45	44	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.08	-14	6	-20	17.8	15.0	2.84	12.8	14.5	-1.68
Ron Mercer	91	89	-0.42	-0.07	-0.35	-0.28	-5	-3	-2	16.0	20.3	-4.32	13.4	18.0	-4.60
Fred Hoiberg	61	59	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.08	-15	7	-22	16.8	15.4	1.37	13.2	14.5	-1.30
Elton Brand	79	78	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.22	-19	11	-30	17.0	12.9	4.09	12.9	17.3	-4.38

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	70	71	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.31	13	-5	18	12.6	16.8	-4.21	16.5	15.7	0.75
Jim Jackson	59	62	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.29	12	-4	16	12.6	15.5	-2.95	17.1	14.8	2.27
Clar. Weatherspoon	82	81	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.37	8	0	8	13.5	15.1	-1.60	16.8	13.9	2.88
Lamond Murray	74	76	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.34	5	3	2	13.1	15.7	-2.59	15.7	18.3	-2.62
Chris Gatling	61	61	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.28	-4	12	-16	13.9	13.3	0.67	15.4	17.7	-2.30
Robert Traylor	38	44	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.15	10	-2	12	13.9	13.6	0.33	17.6	15.2	2.44
Etdrick Bohannon	9	8	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.03	2	6	-4	13.2	13.7	-0.52	10.6	16.8	-6.16
Cedric Henderson	26	25	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	8	-8	14.9	13.2	1.64	15.6	16.5	-0.86
Trajan Langdon	31	31	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.10	-1	9	-10	16.2	12.5	3.71	16.5	16.2	0.40
Bimbo Coles	25	26	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.04	-5	13	-18	16.8	12.6	4.21	15.7	16.5	-0.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.79,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.83,0.81,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.96,0.92,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.7,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.66,0.53,0.62,0.83,0.91,0.97,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 84, CLE 94	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.81,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.87,0.66,0.58,0.42,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.79,0.95,0.99,1	93.8%
PHX 85, MIA 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.8,0.74,0.77,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.75,0.72,0.53,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.72,0.77,0.91,1	93.2%
PHI 84, MIN 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.7,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.85,0.78,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.63,0.53,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.94,0.99,1	93.1%