NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	85		Excitement	6.5 [498]		MVP	Brian Grant (MIA): +8.2%
Miami Heat	92		Comeback	1.2 [463]		LVP	Joe Johnson (PHX): -30.3%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	23	57%	0.16	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Scott Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0	-0.04	0.05	0.00	16	50%	0.08	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Dan Langhi	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	83%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.03
Bo Outlaw	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Casey Jacobsen	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	8	37%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	-0.03	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.30	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.26,-0.3	-0.10	-0.19	0.02	17	39%	-0.25	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	9	80%	0.13	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.04
Malik Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.07	0.01	9	60%	0.10	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.00	6	71%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.02	10	68%	0.15	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	6	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	9	45%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Vladimir Stepania	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	4	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	12	41%	-0.06	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	0.00	11	27%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.4	2.6	29.7	15.8	25.3	2.3	30.6	135.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +23.3%

MIA +17.4%

MIA +2.4%

MIA +7.2%

PHX -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MIA	NBA	PHX	MIA	NBA
this game	14.3	17.9	15.5	94.4	103.4	101.6
season	15.0	16.3		101.1	94.6
opponent	15.9	15.9		100.7	100.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.6	15.8	15.0	13.0	14.3
MIA	17.1	18.5	19.3	17.0	17.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Langhi	4	3	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-6	5	6.0	14.6	-8.64	15.0	18.0	-3.05
Scott Williams	11	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.01	-1	-6	5	17.0	13.9	3.13	20.3	17.6	2.66
Randy Brown	7	7	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-6	5	16.1	14.1	2.05	17.0	18.0	-1.02
Jake Voskuhl	33	31	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.25	4	-11	15	11.8	15.7	-3.94	17.4	18.3	-0.90
Casey Jacobsen	48	46	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.25	0	-7	7	13.1	15.6	-2.51	17.6	18.3	-0.65
Amar'e Stoudemire	43	45	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.07	-7	0	-7	16.3	12.4	3.92	18.1	17.8	0.34
Bo Outlaw	54	54	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.04	-9	2	-11	15.9	11.9	3.99	18.2	17.5	0.76
Joe Johnson	81	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.34	-4	-3	-1	13.8	18.3	-4.53	18.0	17.2	0.80
Stephon Marbury	83	82	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.29	-6	-1	-5	14.1	16.1	-2.05	18.0	17.0	1.02
Shawn Marion	86	86	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.25	-10	3	-13	14.3	13.2	1.05	17.8	22.7	-4.89

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Allen	62	62	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.18	16	-9	25	17.9	18.0	-0.13	14.7	13.4	1.30
Brian Grant	60	58	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.39	9	-2	11	17.5	18.8	-1.26	15.7	11.7	4.03
Caron Butler	84	84	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.23	11	-4	15	17.6	23.0	-5.36	14.7	7.5	7.24
Mike James	49	49	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.23	5	2	3	17.4	18.6	-1.28	13.4	15.3	-1.86
Eddie House	42	42	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.23	4	3	1	17.1	18.7	-1.61	12.8	15.6	-2.80
Travis Best	40	41	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.07	2	5	-3	18.6	17.4	1.28	15.3	13.4	1.86
Rasual Butler	52	54	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	8	-9	19.1	16.3	2.82	14.7	13.6	1.03
LaPhonso Ellis	41	44	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	8	-9	18.4	17.5	0.92	12.7	15.7	-3.03
Vladimir Stepania	15	16	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	-0.02	-10	17	-27	18.4	17.9	0.55	11.7	14.8	-3.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.8,0.74,0.77,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.75,0.72,0.53,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.72,0.77,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 84, MIA 92	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.75,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.8,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.83,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.91,1	93.4%
HOU 107, POR 117	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.8,0.77,0.7,0.84,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.67,0.99,1	93.3%
CHI 86, CLE 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.79,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.83,0.81,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.96,0.92,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.7,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.66,0.53,0.62,0.83,0.91,0.97,1	93.2%