NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	99		Excitement	6.8 [353]		MVP	Darren Collison (IND): +20.2%
Indiana Pacers	104		Comeback	2.3 [595]		LVP	Al Jefferson (UTA): -27.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.10	0.06	0.00	7	82%	0.25	2	-0.08	8	100%	0.07
CJ Miles	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.06	0.01	9	67%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	8	62%	0.08	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	8	55%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Devin Harris	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.03	9	55%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Raja Bell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	5	70%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.06	2	-0.11	4	100%	0.04
Earl Watson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.27	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.18,-0.27,-0.27	-0.08	-0.22	-0.02	17	41%	-0.14	3	-0.13	5	80%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darren Collison	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2	0.20	0.18	0.03	0.01	14	78%	0.20	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.00	13	59%	0.12	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.02,0.02,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.09	0.01	14	50%	0.15	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Paul George	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.03	0.01	10	64%	0.14	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	8	44%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
A.J. Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.07
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	23%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	9	40%	-0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.4	27.3	15.6	28.4	1.8	33.3	131.5
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +14.0%

UTA -8.0%

IND +0.1%

IND +40.2%

IND +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	IND	NBA	UTA	IND	NBA
this game	14.7	14.4	15.6	101.0	104.0	102.8
season	15.8	15.7		104.0	104.2
opponent	15.6	15.1		101.1	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.7	15.5	12.7	14.9	14.7
IND	13.7	14.5	15.0	14.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Enes Kanter	32	32	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.09	3	-8	11	15.0	14.5	0.56	15.5	13.9	1.56
CJ Miles	49	50	0.17	-0.68	0.85	0.06	4	-9	13	14.3	15.0	-0.69	15.1	13.8	1.36
Derrick Favors	33	34	0.11	-0.61	0.71	0.08	1	-6	7	14.8	14.6	0.20	15.9	13.7	2.19
Earl Watson	45	46	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.08	0	-5	5	14.4	14.9	-0.55	15.1	13.9	1.24
Raja Bell	45	46	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-2	-1	14.6	14.7	-0.10	13.2	15.5	-2.38
Josh Howard	53	54	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.28	-2	-3	1	14.7	14.6	0.10	15.5	13.2	2.38
Devin Harris	53	54	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.43	-5	0	-5	14.9	14.4	0.55	13.9	15.1	-1.24
Al Jefferson	65	66	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.43	-6	1	-7	14.6	14.8	-0.20	13.7	15.9	-2.19
Gordon Hayward	49	50	-0.68	0.17	-0.85	-0.41	-9	4	-13	15.0	14.3	0.69	13.8	15.1	-1.36
Paul Millsap	66	68	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.44	-8	3	-11	14.5	15.0	-0.56	13.9	15.5	-1.56

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darren Collison	77	74	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.41	8	-3	11	13.5	17.4	-3.89	15.0	13.5	1.47
David West	64	64	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.39	7	-2	9	13.5	16.1	-2.61	14.8	14.3	0.55
Paul George	60	60	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.26	10	-5	15	13.5	15.8	-2.27	15.4	13.4	2.06
Danny Granger	75	74	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.34	7	-2	9	13.6	17.0	-3.47	15.1	13.1	2.02
Roy Hibbert	73	73	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.43	4	1	3	13.6	16.7	-3.10	14.7	14.4	0.29
Lou Amundson	24	21	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.06	1	4	-3	17.2	13.6	3.64	14.3	14.8	-0.47
Lance Stephenson	38	36	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	8	-11	16.1	13.4	2.69	13.5	15.3	-1.82
Dahntay Jones	28	27	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	7	-9	15.9	13.9	2.07	12.9	15.3	-2.44
Tyler Hansbrough	38	37	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.02	-4	9	-13	16.3	13.3	2.94	14.5	14.7	-0.22
A.J. Price	23	24	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.06	-3	8	-11	17.4	13.5	3.89	13.5	15.0	-1.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.72,0.78,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 91, PHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.8,0.91,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.81,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.71,0.53,0.47,0.64,0.46,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.9,0.96,1	93.0%
WAS 89, MEM 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.86,0.82,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.85,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.46,0.48,0.75,0.72,0.85,0.98,1	92.5%
IND 88, ORL 92	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.71,0.85,0.85,1	92.2%