NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	101		Excitement	6.2 [336]		MVP	Vlade Divac (SAC): +9.0%
Utah Jazz	90		Comeback	2.4 [196]		LVP	Chris Webber (SAC): -18.7%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vlade Divac	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.00	11	67%	0.09	1	-0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Scot Pollard	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	3	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vernon Maxwell	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07	-0.02	0.07	-0.02	11	50%	0.10	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jon Barry	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.03	0.06	-0.02	7	57%	0.11	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.03
Jason Williams	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	10	78%	0.14	4	-0.11	3	100%	0.01
Corliss Williamson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	7	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	6	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Chris Webber	-0.19	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.08	-0.05	0.06	16	53%	-0.06	5	-0.13	6	17%	-0.09

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd Fuller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	10	50%	-0.03	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	6	47%	0.03	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.03
Thurl Bailey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	5	42%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	4	57%	-0.02	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	12	25%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	27	53%	0.03	4	-0.15	8	87%	0.03
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.06	0.01	11	46%	-0.07	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.5	30.4	17.6	25.3	1.7	33.4	136.6
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +76.2%

UTA -12.5%

UTA -28.7%

SAC +13.2%

SAC +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	UTA	NBA	SAC	UTA	NBA
this game	13.8	16.1	15.8	103.1	94.7	99.6
season	14.1	16.4		100.1	102.6
opponent	16.0	15.5		96.1	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	12.4	13.6	14.6	14.4	13.8
UTA	17.6	16.5	13.6	16.9	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vlade Divac	86	84	0.58	-0.08	0.67	-0.00	20	-9	29	13.5	15.7	-2.17	15.8	18.7	-2.95
Scot Pollard	31	31	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.15	11	0	11	14.5	13.4	1.05	19.1	14.7	4.38
Vernon Maxwell	56	54	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.28	6	5	1	14.2	13.2	1.01	16.6	15.4	1.23
Jon Barry	35	35	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.19	9	2	7	15.1	13.0	2.14	17.1	15.6	1.49
Jason Williams	76	73	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.03	9	2	7	13.2	15.8	-2.65	15.4	18.4	-2.98
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	47	46	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.08	9	2	7	13.5	14.0	-0.45	15.9	16.3	-0.48
Peja Stojakovic	29	27	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.10	1	10	-9	15.0	13.2	1.80	17.1	15.7	1.44
Corliss Williamson	54	53	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.07	2	9	-7	12.2	15.7	-3.48	15.1	17.4	-2.23
Chris Webber	76	72	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.29	-12	23	-35	14.2	12.3	1.87	15.6	17.8	-2.20

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Todd Fuller	15	16	0.18	-0.68	0.87	0.01	6	-17	23	18.8	15.6	3.19	13.7	13.8	-0.09
John Stockton	67	70	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.15	3	-14	17	15.5	17.5	-2.01	13.4	14.6	-1.23
Greg Foster	13	13	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-12	13	13.8	16.5	-2.72	14.2	13.7	0.54
Howard Eisley	49	51	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.13	-2	-9	7	16.4	15.8	0.65	13.2	14.4	-1.27
Karl Malone	81	83	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.10	-4	-7	3	15.9	17.6	-1.79	13.3	16.5	-3.19
Shandon Anderson	31	34	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.22	-1	-10	9	17.4	15.5	1.84	13.5	13.9	-0.36
Jeff Hornacek	65	66	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	1	-13	15.3	17.8	-2.51	13.9	13.5	0.39
Greg Ostertag	62	63	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	1	-13	15.7	16.9	-1.17	14.3	12.8	1.50
Thurl Bailey	17	18	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.11	-12	1	-13	19.2	15.4	3.73	15.6	13.3	2.26
Bryon Russell	75	76	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.05	-22	11	-33	16.4	15.0	1.41	14.1	12.7	1.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.41,0.36,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.69,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.56,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.07,0.21,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 122, PHX 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.43,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.34,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.19,0.12,0.19,0.03,0,0,0	93.1%
NOH 92, POR 77	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.6,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.11,0.16,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	92.4%
DET 115, NYK 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.57,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.25,0.33,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.01,0	92.3%