NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	115		Excitement	6.8 [498]		MVP	Michael Beasley (NYK): +30.8%
New York Knicks	109		Comeback	3.3 [510]		LVP	Emmanuel Mudiay (NYK): -14.0%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Henry Ellenson	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.08	0.10	0.00	4	90%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Tolliver	0.14	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.05	0.02	9	77%	0.17	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Andre Drummond	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.03	-0.00	13	65%	0.20	3	-0.12	8	75%	-0.02
Reggie Bullock	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.01	14	53%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
James Ennis III	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	6	75%	0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	-0.00	-0.05	17	47%	0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.07
Stanley Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	8	56%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ish Smith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	9	44%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Moreland	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kennard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Beasley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.31	0.31	0.20	0.11	0.01	21	74%	0.35	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Damyean Dotson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	4	78%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	17	51%	0.05	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Isaiah Hicks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	67%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Trey Burke	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.04	0.02	17	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Troy Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	-0.05	0.02	8	58%	0.03	2	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Luke Kornet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	5	30%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.4	27.5	15.3	23.4	1.8	30.5	123.2
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +42.0%

NYK -3.2%

NYK -0.9%

DET +14.4%

NYK -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	NYK	NBA	DET	NYK	NBA
this game	14.7	15.3	14.7	119.8	113.5	107.5
season	14.9	14.9		106.4	105.9
opponent	14.5	14.7		109.3	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.3	13.4	13.7	15.5	14.7
NYK	16.4	13.3	17.0	15.1	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Ennis III	46	44	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.19	15	-9	24	12.5	16.6	-4.10	16.0	14.7	1.30
Luke Kennard	37	37	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.17	10	-4	14	13.7	15.2	-1.51	15.2	15.4	-0.21
Henry Ellenson	33	33	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.18	9	-3	12	13.7	15.2	-1.51	16.2	14.9	1.28
Eric Moreland	24	23	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.01	12	-6	18	11.6	15.7	-4.04	16.1	15.1	1.03
Reggie Jackson	48	49	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.11	7	-1	8	15.5	13.8	1.73	15.8	14.9	0.88
Ish Smith	48	47	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.21	-1	7	-8	13.8	15.5	-1.73	14.9	15.8	-0.88
Reggie Bullock	64	64	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.20	-1	7	-8	15.5	12.9	2.58	15.6	14.8	0.84
Andre Drummond	72	73	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.32	-6	12	-18	15.7	11.6	4.04	15.1	16.1	-1.03
Anthony Tolliver	63	63	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.14	-3	9	-12	15.2	13.7	1.51	14.9	16.2	-1.28
Stanley Johnson	45	47	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.09	-12	18	-30	16.4	13.1	3.24	14.4	16.2	-1.84

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Hicks	12	12	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.00	5	-11	16	10.8	16.0	-5.15	14.5	14.7	-0.18
Tim Hardaway Jr.	71	69	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.22	10	-16	26	15.1	16.0	-0.94	15.4	12.7	2.77
Kyle O'Quinn	64	62	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.21	8	-14	22	14.9	16.2	-1.27	15.8	12.6	3.25
Troy Williams	64	63	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.30	6	-12	18	15.2	15.7	-0.52	16.0	12.0	4.00
Michael Beasley	56	56	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.19	1	-7	8	15.8	14.7	1.10	15.4	13.6	1.77
Trey Burke	75	76	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.27	-1	-5	4	15.7	14.2	1.48	14.9	13.8	1.02
Lance Thomas	28	28	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.14	-12	6	-18	16.4	14.9	1.43	13.2	15.2	-1.99
Luke Kornet	32	34	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.12	-14	8	-22	16.2	14.9	1.27	12.6	15.8	-3.25
Emmanuel Mudiay	41	43	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.10	-16	10	-26	15.4	15.3	0.04	13.0	16.0	-3.00
Damyean Dotson	37	37	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.08	-17	11	-28	15.4	15.3	0.14	12.4	16.1	-3.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.57,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.25,0.33,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 92, POR 77	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.6,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.11,0.16,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	95.3%
DAL 109, MIL 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.06,0.16,0	93.5%
SAS 87, LAL 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.55,0.63,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.38,0.52,0.38,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.16,0.17,0.07,0.03,0.04,0,0	93.4%