NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	92		Excitement	5.4 [736]		MVP	James Posey (NOH): +19.1%
Portland Trail Blazers	77		Comeback	2.7 [446]		LVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): -19.1%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Posey	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.10	0.10	0.01	10	68%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	0.03	0.05	6	100%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.07	16	50%	0.14	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
David West	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	21	58%	0.15	4	-0.13	1	100%	0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	-0.02	0.05	11	64%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	5	58%	0.02	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Rasual Butler	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Fernandez	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	11	73%	0.16	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.05	0.00	6	71%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.06
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ike Diogu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	6	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	13	53%	0.01	4	-0.07	4	50%	-0.01
Greg Oden	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	4	50%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.03	0.02	8	39%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.15	-0.05	-0.00	18	32%	-0.11	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.4	30.4	15.4	29.0	1.8	28.0	130.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +69.0%

POR -13.0%

POR -5.9%

NOH +3.1%

POR -3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	POR	NBA	NOH	POR	NBA
this game	17.6	18.6	15.5	115.0	97.5	106.4
season	16.6	16.7		105.9	111.0
opponent	16.0	15.6		105.8	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	19.1	15.5	17.5	18.7	17.6
POR	18.8	18.0	18.5	19.2	18.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Posey	59	58	0.70	-0.20	0.90	-0.04	25	-10	35	17.2	18.7	-1.43	19.0	17.5	1.56
Hilton Armstrong	37	37	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.04	22	-7	29	17.9	17.4	0.52	19.8	17.6	2.14
David West	74	74	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.05	14	1	13	17.3	21.8	-4.56	18.3	23.6	-5.32
Antonio Daniels	21	21	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.12	6	9	-3	19.5	16.9	2.59	20.0	18.1	1.88
Chris Paul	62	62	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.04	11	4	7	17.0	19.8	-2.87	18.4	19.5	-1.16
Peja Stojakovic	62	61	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.08	7	8	-1	17.1	19.5	-2.44	17.8	21.4	-3.66
Rasual Butler	32	31	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.22	-4	19	-23	19.6	16.3	3.30	19.4	18.1	1.32
Morris Peterson	10	9	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	14	-13	19.4	17.4	2.04	20.1	18.4	1.68
Tyson Chandler	43	42	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.02	-7	22	-29	17.4	17.9	-0.52	17.6	19.8	-2.14

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nicolas Batum	30	29	0.25	-0.75	0.99	0.04	7	-22	29	19.6	18.0	1.63	18.3	17.2	1.15
Ike Diogu	14	15	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.06	-6	-9	3	17.1	19.0	-1.88	13.9	18.5	-4.61
Rudy Fernandez	61	61	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.06	-7	-8	1	18.6	18.8	-0.20	17.2	18.9	-1.68
Steve Blake	63	63	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.05	-7	-8	1	17.9	21.6	-3.69	17.2	19.1	-1.84
Joel Przybilla	55	55	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-10	5	18.7	18.4	0.35	17.6	17.6	-0.04
Sergio Rodriguez	15	16	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.10	-8	-7	-1	20.3	18.2	2.11	18.7	17.3	1.42
LaMarcus Aldridge	61	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.13	-7	-8	1	18.8	18.2	0.59	18.7	14.0	4.74
Jerryd Bayless	23	26	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.03	-11	-4	-7	18.2	18.8	-0.63	18.1	17.4	0.75
Greg Oden	24	23	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.11	-9	-6	-3	20.4	17.9	2.52	17.9	17.5	0.36
Travis Outlaw	49	51	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.08	-22	7	-29	18.0	19.6	-1.63	17.2	18.3	-1.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.6,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.11,0.16,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 115, NYK 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.57,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.25,0.33,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.01,0	95.3%
DAL 109, MIL 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.06,0.16,0	93.8%
SAS 87, LAL 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.55,0.63,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.38,0.52,0.38,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.16,0.17,0.07,0.03,0.04,0,0	93.8%