NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	109		Excitement	6.3 [590]		MVP	Harrison Barnes (DAL): +33.2%
Milwaukee Bucks	105		Comeback	2.8 [228]		LVP	Dorian Finney-Smith (DAL): -9.2%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harrison Barnes	0.33	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.33	0.21	0.12	0.00	13	86%	0.41	3	-0.08	10	100%	0.07
Dirk Nowitzki	0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.14	0.04	0.01	11	77%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.J. Barea	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.03	0.10	-0.01	11	77%	0.28	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Brussino	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	4	70%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Nerlens Noel	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Salah Mejri	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yogi Ferrell	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.02	8	65%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Devin Harris	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	5	43%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Wesley Matthews	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	10	40%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thon Maker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.00	-0.00	7	79%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	75%	0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	18	65%	0.17	5	-0.11	12	92%	0.06
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	11	64%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.03	8	75%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashad Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.03	-0.00	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	15	41%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.3	25.5	15.7	24.1	2.4	37.5	129.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +36.9%

DAL +13.1%

MIL -12.4%

DAL +9.8%

DAL +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MIL	NBA	DAL	MIL	NBA
this game	15.5	15.3	14.8	117.2	111.7	107.7
season	16.2	14.9		104.4	107.4
opponent	15.3	14.7		107.8	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.3	16.7	14.6	14.6	15.5
MIL	16.4	16.0	15.4	13.7	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nerlens Noel	35	37	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.11	19	-15	34	14.6	16.0	-1.46	17.3	14.0	3.26
Nicolas Brussino	35	35	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.43	8	-4	12	15.8	15.3	0.46	14.2	16.0	-1.83
J.J. Barea	44	45	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.11	16	-12	28	14.9	16.0	-1.13	16.4	14.4	1.99
Devin Harris	41	42	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.19	10	-6	16	14.8	16.0	-1.26	16.9	14.0	2.87
Harrison Barnes	75	76	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.30	-3	7	-10	15.5	15.4	0.12	15.1	16.2	-1.05
Salah Mejri	19	19	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.23	-4	8	-12	13.6	16.0	-2.33	9.7	16.7	-7.06
Dirk Nowitzki	50	49	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	3	-2	16.6	14.2	2.41	16.1	14.5	1.55
Wesley Matthews	67	69	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.18	-5	9	-14	15.4	15.6	-0.13	14.3	18.0	-3.65
Dwight Powell	7	7	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.06	-5	9	-14	16.9	15.4	1.49	17.1	15.2	1.97
Yogi Ferrell	60	60	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.27	-12	16	-28	16.1	14.3	1.88	14.5	16.7	-2.13
Dorian Finney-Smith	32	31	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	-0.02	-5	9	-14	15.7	15.4	0.36	16.6	14.7	1.93

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Spencer Hawes	7	7	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.06	5	-9	14	17.1	15.2	1.97	16.9	15.4	1.49
Rashad Vaughn	9	9	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.02	2	-6	8	16.9	15.2	1.74	13.4	15.7	-2.26
Thon Maker	35	36	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-4	4	17.3	14.1	3.22	16.7	14.7	2.02
Mirza Teletovic	12	12	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.02	-3	-1	-2	17.3	15.0	2.31	16.7	15.3	1.45
Tony Snell	64	65	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.32	8	-12	20	14.5	17.0	-2.42	16.2	13.9	2.33
Khris Middleton	72	72	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.22	4	-8	12	15.0	16.2	-1.19	16.2	13.0	3.15
Matthew Dellavedova	66	67	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.31	3	-7	10	15.2	15.5	-0.31	15.9	14.3	1.58
Michael Beasley	16	14	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.08	-6	2	-8	16.6	15.1	1.57	11.9	16.1	-4.27
Gary Payton II	19	17	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-9	5	-14	14.9	15.4	-0.53	14.8	15.6	-0.81
Giannis Antetokounmpo	80	79	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.38	-2	-2	0	14.7	19.1	-4.41	15.1	17.9	-2.79
Jason Terry	38	37	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.16	-13	9	-22	17.3	13.9	3.40	14.7	16.0	-1.25
Greg Monroe	52	50	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.34	-9	5	-14	13.7	17.3	-3.60	14.4	16.7	-2.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.06,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 92, POR 77	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.6,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.11,0.16,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	93.8%
DET 115, NYK 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.57,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.25,0.33,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.01,0	93.5%
SAS 87, LAL 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.55,0.63,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.38,0.52,0.38,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.16,0.17,0.07,0.03,0.04,0,0	93.0%