NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	122		Excitement	6.7 [483]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +24.2%
Phoenix Suns	106		Comeback	2.7 [865]		LVP	Devin Booker (PHX): -12.2%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.24	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,0,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.20	0.10	0.06	21	68%	0.28	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.04
Cameron Payne	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.07	0.01	7	79%	0.17	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.03	-0.02	11	56%	0.12	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.04
Kyle Singler	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	4	70%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Anthony Morrow	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	9	61%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.01	9	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.09
Nick Collison	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	0.02	19	58%	0.11	6	-0.19	12	92%	0.05

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.05	0.01	10	73%	0.17	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.00	0.00	7	72%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.00	6	79%	0.10	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	-0.02	-0.03	12	61%	0.13	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Archie Goodwin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	14	53%	0.03	2	-0.02	10	80%	0.01
Jordan McRae	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	14	56%	0.14	6	-0.17	13	69%	-0.01
Sonny Weems	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	-0.00	8	30%	-0.03	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.3	27.5	15.4	31.4	2.4	41.6	146.3
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +29.8%

PHX -3.3%

OKC +11.6%

OKC +10.6%

OKC +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	PHX	NBA	OKC	PHX	NBA
this game	14.7	14.2	14.9	122.0	107.1	105.1
season	14.4	14.4		111.5	100.9
opponent	14.4	15.1		107.4	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.3	17.2	13.4	14.3	14.7
PHX	16.4	14.9	14.3	11.8	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Enes Kanter	55	53	0.73	-0.23	0.95	-0.12	29	-13	42	14.2	15.3	-1.07	13.4	15.2	-1.82
Dion Waiters	87	85	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.05	22	-6	28	14.2	18.3	-4.15	14.4	13.0	1.45
Kevin Durant	83	80	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.02	20	-4	24	13.8	18.9	-5.04	14.2	14.3	-0.03
Cameron Payne	41	40	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.21	9	7	2	16.0	13.8	2.24	15.1	13.7	1.40
Kyle Singler	37	38	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.10	8	8	0	15.9	14.0	1.85	14.6	14.0	0.55
Serge Ibaka	57	58	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	12	-8	14.1	15.5	-1.34	14.1	14.4	-0.25
Steve Novak	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	14	-12	19.5	14.6	4.90	9.5	14.3	-4.84
Nick Collison	7	7	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	18	-20	19.4	14.3	5.08	13.9	14.3	-0.41
Russell Westbrook	76	76	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.09	1	15	-14	14.5	15.3	-0.78	14.1	14.8	-0.70
Anthony Morrow	5	7	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.05	-4	20	-24	22.2	14.3	7.89	13.0	14.3	-1.34
Steven Adams	50	49	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.12	-9	25	-34	15.0	14.4	0.56	14.7	13.8	0.85

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan McRae	5	6	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-16	16	13.0	14.3	-1.31	15.3	14.7	0.67
Tyson Chandler	55	56	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.09	-7	-9	2	13.3	15.4	-2.10	13.9	15.7	-1.83
Markieff Morris	69	70	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.16	-10	-6	-4	13.4	16.1	-2.67	14.0	16.3	-2.33
Archie Goodwin	86	87	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.01	-7	-9	2	14.2	14.5	-0.25	15.1	11.8	3.28
Devin Booker	60	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.01	-10	-6	-4	14.5	13.8	0.74	13.9	16.0	-2.17
Alex Len	44	44	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.12	-9	-7	-2	15.4	13.3	2.10	15.7	13.9	1.83
Mirza Teletovic	41	42	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.04	-13	-3	-10	14.6	14.0	0.54	15.3	14.3	1.01
Sonny Weems	40	38	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.06	-13	-3	-10	14.6	14.0	0.60	16.3	13.7	2.61
PJ Tucker	95	96	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	-5	-6	14.5	9.2	5.20	14.4	21.2	-6.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.43,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.34,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.19,0.12,0.19,0.03,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 101, UTA 90	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.41,0.36,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.69,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.56,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.07,0.21,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.01,0	93.1%
ATL 103, CHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.46,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.12,0.13,0.06,0.01,0,0,0	92.9%
CHA 97, DET 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.38,0.15,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0	92.7%